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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will we see a 30 million seller on a single console this gen?

 

What game on which system?

GTA VI on PS4 112 32.84%
 
GTA VI on Xbox One 1 0.29%
 
New IP on PS4 19 5.57%
 
New IP on Xbox One 5 1.47%
 
Mario game on Wii U (10 million) 36 10.56%
 
Other (post what you think it will be) 11 3.23%
 
Not going to happen 157 46.04%
 
Total:341
RubberWhistleHistle on 04 January 2015

not happening. the only platform it could conceivably happen on is ps4, and games dont sell those levels on sony consoles.



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DonFerrari on 04 January 2015
foodfather said:
Single platform? Never going to happen. You will not even see that many 10m+ sellers this gen let alone 30m.


Yep, I wouldn't expect much more than 10s franchises to do it.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Frogger on 04 January 2015
DanneSandin said:

What about Wii Sports resort? And NSMB wii almost sold 30m...


Those were both bundles that wouldn't do even close to as well on the other consoles.



DonFerrari on 04 January 2015
RubberWhistleHistle said:
not happening. the only platform it could conceivably happen on is ps4, and games dont sell those levels on sony consoles.


GTA at 20M being MP and on 80M userbase says there is a tiny tiny chance.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

RubberWhistleHistle on 04 January 2015
DonFerrari said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:
not happening. the only platform it could conceivably happen on is ps4, and games dont sell those levels on sony consoles.


GTA at 20M being MP and on 80M userbase says there is a tiny tiny chance.


GTA 6, i guess, is on the poll for a reason. thats the only conceivable chance, but.. just no. SA on ps2 sold, what was it, 18m?



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DonFerrari on 04 January 2015
RubberWhistleHistle said:
DonFerrari said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:
not happening. the only platform it could conceivably happen on is ps4, and games dont sell those levels on sony consoles.


GTA at 20M being MP and on 80M userbase says there is a tiny tiny chance.


GTA 6, i guess, is on the poll for a reason. thats the only conceivable chance, but.. just no. SA on ps2 sold, what was it, 18m?

Yep... double base but less sales... so it is more a proof of franchise growth...

But if Sony decided to bundle GT7 with all consoles or anything like that they would achieve it, same with Halo 5... but otherwise I think the chance is quite quite low.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

RubberWhistleHistle on 04 January 2015
DonFerrari said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

Yep... double base but less sales... so it is more a proof of franchise growth...

But if Sony decided to bundle GT7 with all consoles or anything like that they would achieve it, same with Halo 5... but otherwise I think the chance is quite quite low.


yeah, halo 5 is another contender, but if halo 3 couldnt do it on x360, then there is absolutely no way halo 5 could on x1



DonFerrari on 04 January 2015
RubberWhistleHistle said:
DonFerrari said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

Yep... double base but less sales... so it is more a proof of franchise growth...

But if Sony decided to bundle GT7 with all consoles or anything like that they would achieve it, same with Halo 5... but otherwise I think the chance is quite quite low.


yeah, halo 5 is another contender, but if halo 3 couldnt do it on x360, then there is absolutely no way halo 5 could on x1


On its on legs (discounting all bundle) I don't see Halo, UC or TLOU going much above 10M... GT above 15M also wouldn't happen... but perpetual bundle is a different thing.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DJEVOLVE on 04 January 2015

No I do not think it can happen...



DanneSandin on 05 January 2015
spemanig said:
DanneSandin said:

What about Wii Sports resort? And NSMB wii almost sold 30m...


Those were both bundles that wouldn't do even close to as well on the other consoles.

Fair enough :) so if Nintendo went EXCLUSIVE 3rd party and got to bundle their games with the consoles ^^



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.