Wii U wont cross 18 million. PS4 will certainly pass 100 million. Xbox One numbers are unpredictable but it will pass 50 million.
Wii U wont cross 18 million. PS4 will certainly pass 100 million. Xbox One numbers are unpredictable but it will pass 50 million.
I don't get why some people still predict PS4 sub-100M. Why would the clear leader of the gen end up almost tied with the troubled PS3? And people are predicting a massive market contraction. Some predictions won't sum up even the 160M current base of PS360.
There isn't any evidence of a shrinking market, what's the alternative to consoles? People aren't going for PCs, since we still have a lot of console exclusives and gaming on PC demands way more knowledge and money than the average Joe can get. People aren't going to mobile, since 16 or 32 players online shooters are the main genre and you won't get that on your iPad. Any prediction that doesn't sum up at least a good 220 or 240M is crazy.
PS4: 130M
X1: 70M
Wii U: 25M
vkaraujo said: Here is my problem with your prediction. You are aiming for 180M to PS4+X1. PS3+X360 only managed to reach almost 170M until now and they had a big life span. We also have to consider japan that had 10M PS3, something i am not sure PS4 can make, and almost 1.7M X360, which i am 100% sure the XONE won't make. We also have to consider how powerfull those consoles were compared to PC, and how this will affect this gen. What i want to say is that i don't expect big growth over those 170M, if any. |
I wil just start by saying that PS2 alone managed over 150M in as many years as the 360 has been on the market. But let me go on and address your issues.
Wii U
2012: 2,247,216
2013: 3,113,285
2014: 3.7m
2015: 6.2m
2016: 5.5m
2017: 3.5
2018: 1.5m
2019: 1m
26.8m I just rounded up to 27m for Wii U predictions. But with a new game almost every month in 2015, there won't be droughts, and most importantly, they'll have an excuse to advertise. Maybe people will finally see the difference between Wii and Wii U and I guarantee that will bring in a few. Pokken Fighters, Shin Megami Tensei, and I say save Star Fox U for 2016 plus maybe Animal Crossing, a GC HD remake, and Paper Mario U along with a price cut and other games like The Wonderful 102 and Metroid to $199 should keep the system chugging. Finish up the lifecycle in 2017 with Bayonetta 3, some other games, and have another price cut toward the holiday reducing the console to $149. Finally in 2018 sell it for $149, then 2019 cut it to just $99 with a few games. Also, if Nintendo doesn't include backwards compatability on their next console, but releases a few desired games late 2017, it should still have an OK holiday then. It seems optimistic but I don't see why this couldn't happen.
XBOX ONE/Wii U/3DS/PC
RIP Iwata 12/6/1959-7/11/2015
Thanks for all the great memories!
WiiU 27million? lol that says enough about your prediction. It's a little better if you'd switch the Vita and WiiU one.
bubblegamer said: WiiU 27million? lol that says enough about your prediction. It's a little better if you'd switch the Vita and WiiU one. |
Nice attitude,well done...!How?wii u destroys ps vita in the west...
tak13 said:
|
What attitude? Are you feeling attacked or something like that? Vita is more likely to sell 27 Million than WiiU is.
tak13 said:
This happened thanks to the two consecutive price cuts of -50$ & -50$ respectively,which is logically the reason that wii u is currently being dominated by gc! The repeatitive comparison of gc and wii u will be more interesting now that we are going on the third year,because gc sold really fast in its first two years due to the brave price cuts and then fell dramatically,wii u will possibly get it first real price cut in 2015! |
27m for WiiU? How on earth does anyone reach that sort of prediction. Look at what it's doing. Look at what it's done over 25/26 months including 3 holiday seasons, not even 10m.
In fact you expect it to sell the same as it has been up to early 2019 to reach 27m.
m
|
|
Gen Prediction Time |
|
|
|
- |
Xbox One |
Playstation 4 |
WII U |
NINTENDO TAB |
Total NEW hardware sales |
2012 |
0 |
0 |
2.200.000 |
0 |
2.200.000 |
2013 |
2.100.000 |
3.500.000 |
3.000.000 |
0 |
8.600.000 |
2014 |
7.900.000 |
13.000.000 |
6.000.000 |
0 |
26.900.000 |
2015 |
14.000.000 |
13.500.000 |
5.500.000 |
0 |
33.000.000 |
2016 |
13.500.000 |
13.000.000 |
5.000.000 |
0 |
31.500.000 |
2017 |
12.500.000 |
13.500.000 |
2.000.000 |
12.000.000 |
40.000.000 |
2018 |
11.000.000 |
12.500.000 |
0 |
18.000.000 |
41.500.000 |
2019 |
11.500.000 |
12.000.000 |
0 |
19.000.000 |
42.500.000 |
2020 |
9.000.000 |
10.000.000 |
0 |
19.500.000 |
38.500.000 |
TOTALS |
81.500.000 |
91.000.000 |
23.700.000 |
68.500.000 |
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I predicted WiiU was going to win back before it came out lol. I did have PS beating Xbox though