Yes, there I said it. Is anyone willing to make that bet with me - or against me? 


Hear me out, while I make my argument.




Every week under the red line, is a 179.999 or less week. 

- There were 26 weeks in 2014, when PS4 sold less than 180.000.
- PS4 sold an average of 149.982 units in those 26 weeks (30.018)

*Another thing worth remembering is, that PS4 was heavily supply constrained the first 6 months of 2014.


So what will Sony do to make PS4 sell more next year? Nothing? Of course not, but maybe they actually don't need to do anything.



Sure, it is never good thing comparing a generation to the one before it, but still. Generation after generating, after a new Playstation is launched, the following years always beats the one before it in terms of sells. Just look at this picture; PS3 almost sold 30% more in 2008, than in 2007. And again, in 2009 it almost sold 30% more, than in 2008. I believe this exact same thing will happen in 2015.


And now, to the most important thing of all - the games.



* Only on Playstation 4 means not on Xbox One


As you clearly can see, PS4 won't be dealing with any "drought" period in the first half of 2015. Same goes for our friends in Japan.





And not to forget, Playstation 4 will also launch in China on January 11th 2015. 
It is not yet clear how well it will perform, but we do know that it will launching at a cheaper price point, than Xbox One.



So, this is my argument, is anyone willing to make that bet with me? :D



Thread inspired by DarkRPGamer007

I should be tagged in this since my post inspired this one

I won't bet, but no it won't.

There you go ;D

Yes i agree Ps4 never fall from 160k until mars and with strong Fabruary and mars in Japan ps4 will never sell under 180k

I bet it will. :p

Another excellent thread Lichty! I'm going to agree with you on this. What you have pointed out just makes sense.

Japan had no PS4 sales the first 2 months of the year. Plus I think the baseline next year will be much better with the line up they have. Some weeks will have pretty decent spikes. China launch in January. You can bet on it being much bigger than the X1 launch and given the time of the year it comes out sales should be decent. It will increase it's weekly baseline by a bit but by how much is yet to be seen.

On top of that PS4 should naturally sell more next year given it's year two.

admire the effort,good luck

Then Xbox One won't drop below 90k.which is about half of ps4s lowest. But considering the drouht that's coming come September Xbox should b able to do 200k.november 600k. I think ps4 will do 300k and 650 k in the same time.

I can definitely see the PS4 tracking less than 180K a week ...

The issue really isn't the first half of PS4's second year on the market. What's stopping the PS4 from achieving that feat is the summer season. I don't think Batman Arkham Knight is going to be able to carry on the PS4 until the beginning of September ...