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Forums - Sales Discussion - When's the Xbox One gonna overtake the PS4 in the US?

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When will the Xbone overtake the PS4 in the U.S.?

Late 2014 32 2.87%
 
1st half of 2015 51 4.57%
 
2nd half of 2015 92 8.25%
 
1st half of 2016 22 1.97%
 
2nd half of 2016 12 1.08%
 
2017 6 0.54%
 
2018 and beyond 10 0.90%
 
Never 794 71.21%
 
See results 95 8.52%
 
Total:1,114

The gap is sort of too big to be taken over in just a few months. I don't know what the gap is now, i don't trust the numbers on this site completely, so we have to wait until we get ltd's tomorrow. But the last data was 1.1 million. According to Amir from neogaf MS made a small dent in Sony's lead. Lets say PS4 got outsold by 100K (it's definitely not 400K like VGC's prediction) to be more generous i'm going to say 200K. The XB1 will have to consistently outsell the PS4 by 250K-300K for the next few months for it to take the lead in that time frame. That's not happening. The PS4 would have to stop selling. Not to mention the lineup PS4 has for the 1st quarter.



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It depends if Sony cuts the price or not.

As it is today, Amazon charts show that a $350 is king.



Late December 2015.

The fall of 2015 has a good lineup for the XB1.



It is near the end of the end....

I'm not going to say "never" but the way you asked that question made it sound like this is just a matter of time. It isn't. Black Friday is the strongest day of the year for Microsoft but I doubt the Xbox One will outsell the PS4 regularly. This could become a head to head battle, though. At least in the US. But we really don't know at this point.



Lol at the pool results.

And like most of the others, i say never. The Xone won't be selling more than ps4 for december, and after that...ps4 is totally free, and have nothing to be afraid until November 2015, i guess.



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I think PS4 will start outselling it again in January, and especially after an official price cut. So I'd say never.



No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.

Wow this thread... what I find even more shocking are the amount of people that think this is possible.

Here are a few things I would like to chime in. Whats the reason for this XB1 sales uptick? Is it generally considered the better console or is it the better deal this holiday season? Will the price drop be permanent?What happens from January onwards? I will not comment on answers to those questions and will take a wait and see approach.

But I wonder, what happens when next year around the time of Uncharted 4 the PS4 is priced at $299? Its shocking how just a month or two can suddenly make some think thats all that's required for an XB1 win. At this rate, to fight a PS4 at $299, MS would need to sell an XB1 at $220 with a free game. Thing about price wars, is that theer is a point where they don't matter anymore.   I also think a lot here haven't actually looked at the kinda year the PS4 is primed to have in 2015. If they did threads like these wouldn't exist. I also find it strange that some here don't realize that its more important for th XB1 to win on the slow months of the year (first 8-10 months) than to win in just the last 2 months of the year. Basically what MS is doing is treating an infection rather than treat the wound causing the infection.

But to answer the question, I will say Never. Come next year, the gap will start to grow again, though the XB1 will no doubt slow the rate at which that gap grows in NA while it becomes uncontrollably worse everywhere else. 



Sony wont allow it. They still have a pricecut up their sleave and are the only real players in q1 in t erms of exclusives. If it does happen it will be next holiday



This is a necrobumb thread if I ever saw one.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


So much wrong with this thread and the OP assumptions. Think about this. Sony has not touched the PS4's price. In fact I believe they actually raised it at one point in Canada but I can't recall if it was a single store chain or not. So you have MSFT, in 12 months coming out with a separate SKU at $100 less entry, then cutting another $50 in a "temporary" price cut and bundling 1-2 free games on top of this. Keep in mind Sony has not yet even touched the price.

Price cuts are pendulums. The assumptions that A) Price gap will forever remain B) MSFT will be willing to bundle free games forever at $350 and C) When the PS4 has its first price drop it wont dwarf the ground MSFT gained with the aforementioned pricing strategy (hint, it will) is asinine.

It is always fascinating to me how narrow people's visions are. It is literally the last week in history, like a snapshot, with no recollection or reference to past events and then extrapolating the narrow vision forward not accounting for anything but the unsustainable best case scenario of said snapshot.

I really don't think people fully understand how significant the price of the console going from $500 to $350 with 1-2 free games, two marquee games, no less, in less than a year is and to only gain a couple hundred thousand units when your competitor did arguably NOTHING. As always, the peaks and valleys of knee jerk reactions triumph on this site. Someone save this post and lets talk in 8 months, but then again I am not sure if most will have the attention span given the recent sales discussion in light of the unprecedented and lopsided strategies of the last month.