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Forums - Sales Discussion - Can XB1 Reach 11m by 2015?

 

Can XB1 Reach 11m by 2015?

Yes 66 44.90%
 
No 81 55.10%
 
Total:147

Unfortunately no. For some reason, Europe just isn't warming up to the XO. Its been having deals all week on Amazon black Friday and very few of them sold out.



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Seece said:
Welfare said:
I'd say wait for 10 million.

11 million by February at the latest.

Providing we're not overtracking, 10m is a shoe in. 800k next week takes it to nearly 9m. That's 250k a week for December, easy.

800k next week? Wii did 673k on its respective Black Friday in 2007. And it's the PS4 that's tracking close to Wii this holiday season, not Xbone (not even close). If Wii "only" did 673k, what makes you think the XBone will do 800k?

OT: 10.5M



I hope so. Maybe Microsoft will give us actual Xbone shipment #'s in Jan cos they'll be nothing to be ashamed of



The sales and bundles are absolutely killing it. I think we get 10.5-11m by the end of the year easily enough.



That would be cool; would make at least one of my year end predictions right!

I'm not 100% confident that it will, but it should have a shot, depends on BF numbers and Europe, mostly UK.



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BMaker11 said:
Seece said:
Welfare said:
I'd say wait for 10 million.

11 million by February at the latest.

Providing we're not overtracking, 10m is a shoe in. 800k next week takes it to nearly 9m. That's 250k a week for December, easy.

800k next week? Wii did 673k on its respective Black Friday in 2007. And it's the PS4 that's tracking close to Wii this holiday season, not Xbone (not even close). If Wii "only" did 673k, what makes you think the XBone will do 800k?

OT: 10.5M

Because it did 500k this past week, why would you expect it to get a minor boost in the US on such a huge week?

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/39404/Global/

Compare the week prior to BF to this week.



 

Off hand, I want to say that I don't see a problem with the 11m figure, but that's not really based upon anything other than the current boost the XBO is seeing as a result of the temporary sales.

MS did throw out the 10m figure; not with respect to number sold through, nor did the statement explicitly quote "we shipped 10m to retail" so I took that to mean MS would report sales of at least 10m on their next quarterly report.

I would expect the current boost to last until the end of the sale, specifically because it is a seasonal sale that consumers will want to take advantage of, so there is no reason to suspect the boost will be front loaded in any way.

I am kind of curious as to what effect the end of the sale will have on XBO sales in January though as it could dictate how soon a permanent price drop will take effect.



I wouldn't be shocked if the XBO posted sales in excess of 1m units for Black Friday week.



I kinda want to see the week after BF before I decide that. But it seems achievable.
360 didn't manage that in the same time frame but X1 is tracking well above 360, so why not.



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Seece said:
BMaker11 said:
Seece said:
Welfare said:
I'd say wait for 10 million.

11 million by February at the latest.

Providing we're not overtracking, 10m is a shoe in. 800k next week takes it to nearly 9m. That's 250k a week for December, easy.

800k next week? Wii did 673k on its respective Black Friday in 2007. And it's the PS4 that's tracking close to Wii this holiday season, not Xbone (not even close). If Wii "only" did 673k, what makes you think the XBone will do 800k?

OT: 10.5M

Because it did 500k this past week, why would you expect it to get a minor boost in the US on such a huge week?

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/39404/Global/

Compare the week prior to BF to this week.

This week saw 3 big game releases, so the actual base for the week is blown out of proportion. I think without these releases we'd be looking more around 300k so you should calculate your BF numbers from that. Maybe even lower because of people waiting for BF deals.



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