Quantcast
Prediction: PS4 will sell 5 million this December

Forums - Sony Discussion - Prediction: PS4 will sell 5 million this December

Will PS4 sell 5,000,000 last month of year?

Yes, it will. 146 51.05%
 
Nope, too much. 139 48.60%
 
Total:285

4M-4.5M would be my upper end IMO, 5M would be insane.
If it does those kinds of numbers in December it'll probably be sold out and I think Sony can ship 22M by the end of the year, so the sales by the end of 2014 could be 22M, Sony would be happy.

I think well over 17M is likely by the end of this month, maybe 17.5M.

If Sony announces they'll have shipped 23M by the end of the year 22M sales is guaranteed IMO.



Around the Network
drake_tolu said:
kristianity77 said:
I think 5 million is too much. 3.5 million for the month is my guess.

Some like:

1 week 600,000

2 week 850,000

3 week 1,000,000

4 week 750,000

5 week 300,000

?


This seems about right.



DJEVOLVE said:
drake_tolu said:
kristianity77 said:
I think 5 million is too much. 3.5 million for the month is my guess.

Some like:

1 week 600,000

2 week 850,000

3 week 1,000,000

4 week 750,000

5 week 300,000

?


This seems about right.

But why!?!??!?!

Have sold more than 730,000 last week and is UNDERTRACKED !!!

Why will dropped 600,000 first week of December ?



It is possible, but difficult to say, it would be much better than Wii



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

IMVHO:
Worst case: 3M
Best case: 5M
Most likely: ~4M.
Probably it depends a lot on supplies and another factor involving production and logistics, surely Sony will want to start stockpiling PS4 for Chinese launch and it will be very prudent in increasing production at first, and only after seeing the value around which sales will settle later it will decide by how much increasing production.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")

A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.

TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW!

        

Around the Network

20 million announcement incoming at PS EVENT? Shipped probably and sold through by newyear



29/08/14:

PS4 will sell 25 million units before 31st of March!

Edit: I didn't state what year! HAHA, so I'm still right in some sense

In one of my other threads, I compared PS4's first year Holiday sales with the Wii's, when I in fact should have compared it to Wii's numbers from 2010 - They are much more identical.

-----Wii 2009--------------------PS4 2014--------------------------------

Nov 07: 459,243-----------Nov 08: 553,533 = + 20.53 % (+ 94,290)
Nov 14: 533,148-----------Nov 15: 481,003 = -  09.78 % (-  52,145)
Nov 21: 702,858-----------Nov 22: 734,388 = 09.11 % (+ 31,530)
Nov 28: 1,090,313---------Nov 29:
Dec 05: 1,541,469---------Dec 06:
Dec 12: 1,378,023---------Dec 13:
Dec 19: 1,746,235---------Dec 20:
Dec 26: 1,823,190---------Dec 27:

3 Weeks: 1,695,249-------3 Weeks: 1,768,924


*Sure, it is ridiculous of me to expect, PS4 to have the same results this Holiday. But just imagine, if PS4 would have such a glorious Holiday! :p



It might starting from Black Friday on.i say 4 million



VITA 32 GIG CARD.250 GIG SLIM & 160 GIG PHAT PS3

You know we really won't know if it does until
A. Sony announces it
B. VGChartz adjusts sales next May



XBOX ONE/Wii U/3DS/PC

RIP Iwata 12/6/1959-7/11/2015

Thanks for all the great memories!

LordLichtenstein said:

In one of my other threads, I compared PS4's first year Holiday sales with the Wii's, when I in fact should have compared it to Wii's numbers from 2010 - They are much more identical.

-----Wii 2010--------------------PS4 2014--------------------------------

Nov 07: 459,243-----------Nov 08: 553,533 = + 20.53 % (+ 94,290)
Nov 14: 533,148-----------Nov 15: 481,003 = -  09.78 % (-  52,145)
Nov 21: 702,858-----------Nov 22: 734,388 = 09.11 % (+ 31,530)
Nov 28: 1,090,313---------Nov 29:
Dec 05: 1,541,469---------Dec 06:
Dec 12: 1,378,023---------Dec 13:
Dec 19: 1,746,235---------Dec 20:
Dec 26: 1,823,190---------Dec 27:

3 Weeks: 1,695,249-------3 Weeks: 1,768,924


*Sure, it is ridiculous of me to expect, PS4 to have the same results this Holiday. But just imagine, if PS4 would have such a glorious Holiday! :p

That is Wii in 2009, not in 2010.