Hi guys, this is my first topic on VGChartz. I would like to talk with you about LTD home console shipments here!
As you already know, Sony never made any announcement of PS3 beating the 360, and I recently saw some forum posts saying ps3 could surpass 360 soon or implying that 360 is still ahead in shipments.
So today I decided to watch over all the shipments information from Sony and Microsoft, trying to have an accurate idea of the LTD shipments of those home consoles (too bad they combined PS2/PS3 and 360/ONE...)
I found a cool page on the SONY website that gather all of their Historical Data, so it was easier than watching over all of the reports (even though I checked all of these to be sure the data matches)
Here it is: http://www.sony.net/SonyInfo/IR/library/historical.html
Here are 4 Pictures I've made for you so you don't have to download the files to check shipments:
FY'99-FY'00 Shipments : http://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2014/47/1416591338-sonyshipmentshistoryfy99-00.jpg
FY'01-FY'10 Shipments : http://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2014/47/1416439251-sonyshipmentshistoryfy01-10.jpg
FY'11-FY'12 Shipments : http://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2014/47/1416439255-sonyshipmentshistoryfy11-12.jpg
FY'13-FY'14 Shipments : http://image.noelshack.com/fichiers/2014/47/1416439260-sonyshipmentshistoryfy13-14.jpg
I decided to make a cumulative LTD shipments excel file from these numbers to see it better:
As you can see, FY'12 (April'12-March'13) is the last year PS2 was shipped (production ended early january 2013.)
We had 157.9M PS2 and 63.9M PS3 at the end of FY'11 (March, 31, 2012).
EDIT: The PS2 sales were in fact 155.1M as of March, 31, 2012 because some sales (exactly 2.8M) counted twice when SONY changed their method of reporting sales back in FY'06, hence the corrected estimate on my excel file.
SONY Shipped 16.5M consoles in The FY'12. We know PS2 sold 6.4M FY'10 and 4.1M FY'11. If we consider it dropped the same percentage, PS2 should be at 2.6M FY'12, however, Q4 FY'12 rise YOY shows that there was a last "BIG" shipments of PS2, so let's say sales for PS2 didn't drop too much YOY and the PS2 was 3.9M, leaving the PS3 at 12.6M for FY'12.
Then we have true PS3 numbers for FY'13 and FY'14.
SONY shipped a total of 244.2M PS2+PS3. According to my estimate on FY'12, it puts PS2 at 159.0M and PS3 at 85.2M as of September, 30, 2014.
The work about Microsoft Xbox home consoles data was done faster:
The X360 LTD on June, 30, 2013 was 78.2M: http://www.microsoft.com/investor/EarningsAndFinancials/Earnings/Kpi/FY13/Q4/Detail.aspx (bottom of the page)
X360+Xbox One from July 2013 to June 2014 added 11.7M: http://www.microsoft.com/investor/EarningsAndFinancials/Earnings/Kpi/FY14/Q4/Detail.aspx
X360+Xbox One from July 2014 to September 2014 added 2.4M: http://www.microsoft.com/investor/EarningsAndFinancials/Earnings/Kpi/FY15/Q1/Detail.aspx
So Microsoft shipped a total of 92.3M Xbox 360+Xbox One consoles. According to the general estimates of the forum users saying Xbox One is at about 7.4M on last September, 30th, it leaves X360 at about 84.9M consoles shipped at the same day.
So unless Sony shipped 159.3M+ PS2 (meaning they shipped less than 84.9M PS3), then PS3 has finally surpassed Xbox 360 on LTD shipments. (by about 0.3M with my FY'12/LTD estimate)
As a conclusion, SONY and Microsoft home consoles LTD shipments should now(September, 30, 2014) look like :
Any thoughts about all this? Also why the PS1 and PS2 are so off on vgchartz after all those years?
PS: if you find any error on any number, please tell me, i'm new to this, it's the first time I do this kind of work, so I might be wrong on some numbers even if I tried not to be.
Prediction: End of 2015 Hardware sales (as of January 20, 2015)
Wii U: 12.1M | XBO: 19.8M | PS4: 36.0M | 3DS: 58.5M | PSV: 11.7M