Its moved up from 36 to 33 on Amazon UK 2014. Amazon US 2014 might update today. VGChartz pre-orders are bs. MCC is about to overtake Destiny 360 which sold 0.69m in the US with ONLY its pre-orders. Have to take into account the multitude of people who don't pre-order games and the ones that aren't in the US.

1.4m FW

3m by the end of the year

6m lifetime

Lets throw some numbers into the mix here.

Gears of War (launched same point in time in 360's life as MCC launches in XB1's)

WW:
Userbase: 5.47m
FW: 910k.
=17% attach rate

USA:
Userbase: 2.9m
FW: 510k
=17.5% attach rate

Halo 3

WW:
Userbase: 11.9m
FW: 3.8m
= 32% attach rate

US:
Userbase: 6.45m
FW: 2.42m
= 38% attach rate


With Gears we have a new IP, obviously not as frontloaded as Halo MCC will be, but with Halo 3 we have a mainline title (that was possibly the most hyped videogame release in the industries history).

I believe the XB1 userbase end of September was 6.1m. + 670k from October (already done 470k, plus my estimates of 200k for Sunset week). + 300k for COD/Bundle/Price cut week + another 250k for Halo MCC launch week. Userbase around time of release for MCC should be around 7.4m.

10% attach rate - 740k FW
15% attach rate - 1.11m FW
20% attach rate - 1.48m FW
25% attach rate - 1.85m FW
30% attach rate - 2.23m FW

I don't see why it can't do on par with Gears (which would be 1.3m~) But this is Halo and it's hyped.

I reckon 1.7m+ (with close to 25% in the US) (1.2m)

Also think VGC will undershoot this by a big margin and numbers that come out later will rectify that.

1,971,000

1.85m

I would say about 800k. The only thing we can compare it to this gen is Destiny. Which was free for a whole week to anyone who bought the console.

That did 1.26m though?

It was also heavily PS marketed, so those with PS4 and XB1 skus it further. As well as it being new IP vs Halo.

If you're talking about it being free, well XB1 is $349 (with a game) + Halo MCC = $410. That's only $10 more expensive than $399 and any free game.

And it's coming out during the holiday.

1.5 million.

800/1m

If this game doesn't do 1.4-1.6mil the first week I will be surprised. Heavy anticipation, holiday, great value, perfect storm for that right there.