What gap will be larger (by 8th gen end) | |||
| PS4 vs. Wii U | 66 | 45.52% | |
| 3DS vs Vita | 79 | 54.48% | |
| Total: | 145 | ||
Vita: 13-15m
3DS: 70-80m
Gap: 55-67m
PS4: 105-115m
WiiU: 19-24m
Gap: 81-96m
The gap will be wider on consoles for sure.
At the rate Nintendo is going they wont hit 40 million by the time they usually 6 years their run finishes up. They are already closing their second year and they cant even break 10 million consoles sold. Im calling a 25 million or less by the end of the gen. Sony is going for 100 million solid if they keep it up once more.
| padib said: That's where I don't agree. Games like Angry birds and Candy Crush have always existed on PC. Sure smartphones make them more accessible but the craze is going to die like it did for PCs initially. Now a PC is taken for granted, like a tablet will be next gen. So the 3DS would have taken a dent sure but imho it's not a cancer or some undefeatable foe like you're making it out to be. That's a fantasy imho. |
That's irrelevant, though. PCs are not portable, and that's the one and only important thing here. Phones and tablets are already taken for granted, and they're always on you, that's what makes them such great gaming devices.
I've gone from seeing many kids playing GBA or DS in public for fun to seeing far far more kids the same age playing mobile in public for fun and encountering a 3DS every once in a while. And the mobile market extends to the high school, college, and adult demographic as well. It's not going anywhere unless smartphones are going with them.
It's not going to kill portables, but a device like the 3DS is never going to hold as much sway in on the go gaming as phones do/will or the DS did.
padib said:
The 3DS will do much better over the course of its lifetime in the US. What are people buying nowadays anyways instead of Wii+DS like they did in gen 7? The PS4 doesn't account for all the Wii+DS type sales last gen. And let's not say that DS sold only to casuals, it had tons of 3DS-types games in its library which sold well. |
I don't see the 3DS selling more than 90m absolutely tops and being optimistic. Sorry.
No troll is too much for me to handle. I rehabilitate trolls, I train people. I am the Troll Whisperer.
padib said:
The 3DS will do much better over the course of its lifetime in the US. What are people buying nowadays anyways instead of Wii+DS like they did in gen 7? The PS4 doesn't account for all the Wii+DS type sales last gen. And let's not say that DS sold only to casuals, it had tons of 3DS-types games in its library which sold well. |
Iphones.
| RolStoppable said: The PS4 vs. Wii U gap will be bigger, easily. My reasoning: I am not delusional. |
This.
To elaborate a bit more. WiiU will sell more than Vita - but not much. 5 million, maybe 10 million. The 3DS has peaked, it will not even double it's sales at this point, probably 80 million. The PS4 will sell 100M, beyond that is too much speculation at this point, but 100M seem locked.
PS4 120million
WiiU 20million
Gap 100million
3DS 65million
Vita 15million
Gap 50million
PS4-WiiU gap will be twice the size, no contest.
40m WiiU? Just no.
WiiU - PS4 gap will be 90m IMO, 3DS Vita gap will be 50m
A lot of people thinking the PS4 is pretty much gonna sell as much as the PS2, which seems real odd to me.
The N3DS is definitely supposed to add life to the console, so we have to take in the fact that the 3DS' life is supposed to last longer.
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