Ill say no, at 6m only sold now. It will not justify over next two months a large enough shipment as there is no need for 2million X1s sitting on shelves post holidays in America.

I'm going to say no on this one, I think it's hard to compare anything this gen to last gen as its panned out nothing like last gen at all so far

You should totally talk to Microsoft, and tell them to stop reducing xbone price, it's so obvious they don't need to, with such incredibile sales.

yep yep, just saying no need to ship that much when sales are showing there is no need.  

It will be close.

My actual prediction is ~10.3 million for end of 2014... so if it ship more than 600k in Jan, Feb and Apr then it will be ahead.

Btw I expected a even bigger drop in Xbone sales than last year after January... it will do Wii U number in January NPD (less than 100k for example).

16 months?

What a strange timeframe. Why not 12 months? Or 24?

I personally think the XB1 has a good chance of taking it.

There is a normal amount on shelves, 1m~ (when you factor in adjustments.

A solid no. Too many factors against it.

X1 has more competition this time round and is a lot more expensive than the original xbox 360, even with its supply constraints, the 360 did beyond anybodies expectations.

Yeah it should do, its strong launch is certainly carrying it through the sales of this year which have dropped well below 360. Hopefully a good Christmas will put it back on track to soar past 360 upcoming quarters.