The holidays will be the deciding factor. And if there's a price cut.

THIS. Consistency matters. PS2 sold that much because of that insane library of games. I think PS4 should and can keep up once the games keep coming.

Luck would be 30, 20 it will do with out breakig a sweat.

This is a prediction I made at the end of January 2014 after we got shipment figures for Q4 CY2013. I predicted the quarterly sales of both the Xbox One and the PS4 and estimated that the PS4 would end the year on 18 million shipped and Xbox on 11.7 million shipped.

We didn't have PS4 shipment figures for a long time, but now that we do I've included a comparison of my estimates along with the actual results. Seems I was spot on for Q1 but Q2 and 3 I slightly underestimated how well PS4 would sell. Even in Q4 I put an estimate of 5.2m but I'm inclined to raise that slightly to 5.5m now. All in all I believe that my PS4 prediction has been a good one but I'm sure the PS4 will end 2014 with almost 19 million shipped worldwide, maybe even more.

My Xbox prediction has surprisingly been quite high. Whilst my predictions show that the Xbox One wasn't going to do well compared to the PS4, I never expected it to be this bad. Sure I've had to estimate shipped figures for Q2/3 but we should have under ~7.5m shipped by September 31st whilst I estimate 8 million. I still think we'll see over 3.5m Xbox One's shipped in Q4 but it's going to struggle to get significantly over 11 million.

All in all my predictions are fairly close to the actual sell in of both the PS4 and X1. However, now that we are 3 quarters in to the year I'd say the PS4 will sell in ~19 million worldwide by the end of the year and the Xbox One will sell in ~11.2m worldwide by the end of the year.



*Figures above are millions of units sold in.

It's crazy the PS4 can still hold on to the wii levels of sales at launch and will totally oblitarate it when it's in is 5th year lol

Wii 150$ cheaper

With motion gimmick fad

Targeting casuals and non traditional customers

With Japanese support

What does that have to do with anything? Had they shipped asnmuch as Sony they may have not been hard to find. That dosent change the sale totals.

So basiclly sony isn't doing so well compared to it cause they managed to ship more consoles than the wii did? Ok got it.

I find it funny how some poeple are so salty that they can't even accept just how well the PS4 is doing all considering.

• $100 more expensive
• almost non existant support from japan
• so far selling to a demographic that is usually more independent (older) meaning they buy their own hardware and not have parents buy it for them
• Not a console for the "casual" crowd

That's... still competition. People have limited money. So actually, a lot of people owning multiple systems could be an indication that the competition for consumers' money was fiercer.

What is Japan going to help? 8-9k baseline won't matter.