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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - How much will XB1 sell in November NPD? NPD = USA as if you need telling ...

 

What will XB1 sell in November NPD

500k or less 101 23.65%
 
501k - 650k 31 7.26%
 
651k - 800k 35 8.20%
 
801k - 900k 34 7.96%
 
901k - 1m 38 8.90%
 
1m - 1.1m 47 11.01%
 
1.1m - 1.2m 27 6.32%
 
1.2m - 1.3m 39 9.13%
 
1.3m - 1.4m 8 1.87%
 
1.4m or more 67 15.69%
 
Total:427
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.

Yeap... the 2m and 1m comments are a big funny... well I will be glad to be wrong.

700k is too optimism IMO.



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prinz_valium said:
Aphelion said:
prinz_valium said:
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.


launch november was 900k
a frist (full) year drop MoM is unusal, too

thats why many expect 1m+
include all the cheap bundles and mcc in ur thoughts, and u can come to that conclusion.

btw there are may, who think ps4 will sell 4m+ in november worldwide (thats something no console ever managed)

Launch, which means little later on as the market settels down post debut hype.

As far as PS4 given its market shares in some places and all the marlets it is officialy selling in, that 4m is not that grerat a number.   But it may lack an exclusive to help sell that, well sony could back LBP3 with massive ww ads and maybe.  PS4 has already done what none others have done, so it setting another record would be nothing new.  

But we talking about Nov NDp, lets leave world wide at the door.  

do u see what u did there?
1m+xb1 in the us is impossible and just out of hopes and wishes, while 4m ps4 worldwise is not that great number?

they're either both possible, or both out of range.
if the xb1 is doing 600k in november npd, we can expect ~ 1m worldwide. so 4m ps4 worldwide would be 1:4 sales ratio

but there is one point, why xb1 will not break 1m in november npd. the usual oct - november bump for xbox is ~200% (the last years)
and even a 300% increase over october sales could miss the 1m goal.

Theres some really important things you need to accept.

- PS4 is market leader.  In near EVERY freaking Market.  

- X1 leads in NOT a SINGLE MARKET.  

 PS4 is out selling X1 at ratios as high as 7-1 6-1 in Some Euro markets,  PS4 is more likely to achieve 4m ww then X1 is 1m in Nov NDP.  PS4 is the wii but with a difference, it being wii had strong competition, PS4 does not.  



Given the recent price drops for the month, I'm going to go with 890k for the month of November.



" Rebellion Against Tyrants Is Obedience To God"

Seece said:
Sentient_Nebula said:
I think 2 million is likely. But it won't catch the PS4 WW.


2m!! 360 never managed that. We're talking NPD, that's US only.

Globally in the US has struck again!



Aphelion said:

Theres some really important things you need to accpet.

- PS4 is market leader.  In near EVERY freaking Market.  

- X1 leads in NOT a SINGLE MARKET.  

 PS4 is out selling X1 at ratios as high as 7-1 6-1 in Some Euro markets,  PS4 is more liekly to achieve 4m ww then X1 is 1m in Nov NDP.  PS4 is the wii but with a differecne, it being wii had strong competition, PS4 does not.  

lol i have no problems to accept that

but some other should accept, that the ps4 wont sell 4m units in november and neither 7m in december (if ps4 would sell 4m in november it cant sell less than 7m in december) some just going crazy because of the 538k npd september....

yes in europe worst markets the xb1 get outsold 7:1 by the ps4. that was spain btw
france and germany are ~3:1 ltd and 4:1 frist half of 2014
uk 1,5:1

 

but if ur the market leader or not, doesnt impact the % bump u get over several different MoM comparisons. thats affectet by other stats.



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prinz_valium said:
Aphelion said:
 

Theres some really important things you need to accpet.

- PS4 is market leader.  In near EVERY freaking Market.  

- X1 leads in NOT a SINGLE MARKET.  

 PS4 is out selling X1 at ratios as high as 7-1 6-1 in Some Euro markets,  PS4 is more liekly to achieve 4m ww then X1 is 1m in Nov NDP.  PS4 is the wii but with a differecne, it being wii had strong competition, PS4 does not.  

lol i have no problems to accept that

but some other should accept, that the ps4 wont sell 4m units in november and neither 7m in december (if ps4 would sell 4m in november it cant sell less than 7m in december) some just going crazy because of the 538k npd september....

yes in europe worst markets the xb1 get outsold 7:1 by the ps4. that was spain btw
france and germany are ~3:1 ltd and 4:1 frist half of 2014
uk 1,5:1

 

but if ur the market leader or not, doesnt impact the % bump u get over several different MoM comparisons. thats affectet by other stats.


Lol i never said it would smarty pants.  Are you confusing me with someone else ?

Im just saying a record breaking marlet leader pulling of a record is more liekly then one whos achivements are closer classifed as failures then anything else.

 

Wanna make a bet ???



Aphelion said:
prinz_valium said:
Aphelion said:
 

Theres some really important things you need to accpet.

- PS4 is market leader.  In near EVERY freaking Market.  

- X1 leads in NOT a SINGLE MARKET.  

 PS4 is out selling X1 at ratios as high as 7-1 6-1 in Some Euro markets,  PS4 is more liekly to achieve 4m ww then X1 is 1m in Nov NDP.  PS4 is the wii but with a differecne, it being wii had strong competition, PS4 does not.  

lol i have no problems to accept that

but some other should accept, that the ps4 wont sell 4m units in november and neither 7m in december (if ps4 would sell 4m in november it cant sell less than 7m in december) some just going crazy because of the 538k npd september....

yes in europe worst markets the xb1 get outsold 7:1 by the ps4. that was spain btw
france and germany are ~3:1 ltd and 4:1 frist half of 2014
uk 1,5:1

 

but if ur the market leader or not, doesnt impact the % bump u get over several different MoM comparisons. thats affectet by other stats.


Lol i never said it would smarty pants.  Are you confusing me with someone else ?

Im just saying a record breaking marlet leader pulling of a record is more liekly then one whos achivements are closer classifed as failures then anything else.

 

Wanna make a bet ???

i said some other. not u should accept. but right now ur talking to me, so i respond to u;)


on what?

ps4 selling 4m in november worldwide?
xb1 selling 1m in november npd?

 

both is unlikely. the first more than the second.



prinz_valium said:

i said some other. not u should accept. but right now ur talking to me, so i respond to u;)


on what?

ps4 selling 4m in november worldwide?
xb1 selling 1m in november npd?

 

both is unlikely. the first more than the second.

Ok, percantage wise %

PS4 will come closer to 4m world wide then X1 will come to 1m in Nov ndp.  

decent bet, id say PS4 comes closer.  



1 million, but it won't be able to reach the PS4.



prinz_valium said:

i said some other. not u should accept. but right now ur talking to me, so i respond to u;)


on what?

ps4 selling 4m in november worldwide?
xb1 selling 1m in november npd?

 

both is unlikely. the first more than the second.

November for PS4.

NPD: 800-900k

Seems like 2.5 million WW... a bit more depending of others things but hardly close to 4m