Quantcast
Will Mario Kart 8 outsell Mario Kart Super Circuit?

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will Mario Kart 8 outsell Mario Kart Super Circuit?

Tagged games:

?

Yes it will 136 89.47%
 
No it won't 16 10.53%
 
Total:152
NintendoPie said:
drake_tolu said:

No, becase Mario Kart 7 will sell 15 million.

Also, you have predict less than 800K first week, and at the end.

Let's not bring up our past predictions. Remember, you're the one who said Wii U would do what, 40 million?

Anyhow, MK7 isn't selling 15 million. At most it'll sell 12.5 million. The 3DS is slowing down, and so are it's SW sales.

While 12.5 million isn't a ludicrously low estimate, it's a very low estimate for its maximum potential sales.

Of all the sales Mario Kart DS would have after week 100, weeks 100-150 accounted for 23%. 
For Mario Kart Wii, weeks 100-150 accounted for 51%. 
In order for Mario Kart 7 to fail to sell 12.5 million, weeks 100-150 would have to account for at least 60%.

Keep in mind that the Wii's drop after week 100-150 for MKWii was much larger than what you can expect the dropoff for the 3DS to be. If the 3DS were to have the same dropoff, it would sell 7 million over the next 12 months. That's an insane low end.

 

In other words, 12.5 million isn't completely impossible, it's certainly a potential low-end, but there's really no way you can claim it's the absolute high end.

I'm not even accounting for the digital sales of the title here. I have no knowledge of what they are, but the inclusion of them make 12.5 million an even more ridiculous high-end.



Around the Network

It probably will eventually, not sure of the time frame. Let's see what happens in the holiday season.



 

In terms of retail sales, It'll be lower than Mario Kart GBA, for quite a while at least. Adding digital sales as well, it'll be higher.



"Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience."

-Samuel Clemens

Slarvax said:

 I doubt DLC will boost sales at all.


Of course it will. DLC is not only about money - but also about "advertising" the game again. But that time with a dedicated fan base which will talk even more about it to others.

 

Another view point is that you get MORE VALUE for the game. Given the MK8 DLC prices this is not only psychologically true but money wise too

 

Also: every bit of content help selling Wii Us. I wouldn't be surprised to so even more DLC packs for MK8 over the next years to come...



It'll sell more than Super Circuit for sure, maybe even close in on Double Dash a bit.



Currently Playing: SSB: Ultimate Splatoon 2, LoZ: Breath of the Wild, & Fortnite

Around the Network

Doesn't seem very likely to me. The console just doesn't have the install base to push those type of numbers. Every big release on the wii u will probably be lower than normal just because of the Wii u lack of mainstream appeal.



I am Washu-bot B, loyal servant of Final-Fan, the greatest scientific genius in the universe!


I assume our discussion includes digital sales. It certainly will outsell Super Circuit, I also expect it to outsell Double Dash.



NNID: garretslarrity

Steam: garretslarrity

drake_tolu said:

MK7 last December (December only) have sold 550K. 

This December MK7 will sell in the worst scenario 350K. With November+October sales, will sell in Q3 for sure more than 500K.

Have sold 700K in Q1+Q2+Q3, so, by end of year, will sell some like 1.2 million.

Total: 10.3 million

And yep, 4.7 million is for sure possible.

Look the Mario Kart DS sales:

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2005 2,636,531 N/A 2,636,531
2006 3,100,369 17.6% 5,736,900
2007 2,916,389 -5.9% 8,653,289
2008 4,351,380 49.2% 13,004,669
2009 3,522,025 -19.1% 16,526,694
2010 3,682,176 4.5% 20,208,870
2011 1,367,032 -62.9% 21,575,902
2012 759,556 -44.4% 22,335,458
2013 467,701 -38.4% 22,803,159
2014 144,402 -69.1% 22,947,561

Fuck, the DS is discontinued, but MK5 sell again like a monster!

Above 200K for sure this year.

The legs of this game are incredible, and i think that the legs of MK7 and MK8 will be this.

MK7 and MKDS are not comparable. That's not fair to MK7, you know that.

You also know that everyone thinks you overestimate things. You even say yourself in your sig that you are "octimist" with consoles, which I can only guess you mean optimistic, that is very true.



Carl is a Piplup hater and deserves to be punished eternally.

NintendoPie said:

MK7 and MKDS are not comparable. That's not fair to MK7, you know that.

You also know that everyone thinks you overestimate things. You even say yourself in your sig that you are "octimist" with consoles, which I can only guess you mean optimistic, that is very true.

optimism =/= unrealistic

If you don't like my optimistic predictionm:



oniyide said:
it is insane we have to even compare it to super circuit for GBA

Not really. The GBA had an 80 million install base and Super Circuit is its 5th highest selling game.