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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will Mario Kart 8 outsell Mario Kart Super Circuit?

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Yes it will 136 89.47%
 
No it won't 16 10.53%
 
Total:152

yes eventually, but it is insane we have to even compare it to super circuit for GBA



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drake_tolu said:

Mario Kart 8 will sell more than 10 million.

My bet is 12.5 million.

You expect it to outsell MK7?

Wow, now that's brave.



NintendoPie said:
drake_tolu said:

Mario Kart 8 will sell more than 10 million.

My bet is 12.5 million.

You expect it to outsell MK7?

Wow, now that's brave.

No, becase Mario Kart 7 will sell 15 million.

Also, you have predict less than 800K first week, and at the end:



I don't know why it would not.



drake_tolu said:

No, becase Mario Kart 7 will sell 15 million.

Also, you have predict less than 800K first week, and at the end.

Let's not bring up our past predictions. Remember, you're the one who said Wii U would do what, 40 million? 

Anyhow, MK7 isn't selling 15 million. At most it'll sell 12.5 million. The 3DS is slowing down, and so are it's SW sales.



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While mk9 isnt releases, this game will sell.
MK Wii sold 1 million in 2013.
Im suposing that in 2015 Wii u will sell more than 2014, in 2016 will do 2014 numbers. Só, the base will grow, and mk8 will keeping selling.
I dont doubt it can sell 10 million. But 8 million lifetime is my bet.



Also, Wii u bundle, DLC(if well marketed, can help), if amiibo succed, can also help...



NintendoPie said:
drake_tolu said:

No, becase Mario Kart 7 will sell 15 million.

Also, you have predict less than 800K first week, and at the end.

Let's not bring up our past predictions. Remember, you're the one who said Wii U would do what, 40 million? 

Anyhow, MK7 isn't selling 15 million. At most it'll sell 12.5 million. The 3DS is slowing down, and so are it's SW sales.

MK7 last December (December only) have sold 550K. 

This December MK7 will sell in the worst scenario 350K. With November+October sales, will sell in Q3 for sure more than 500K.

Have sold 700K in Q1+Q2+Q3, so, by end of year, will sell some like 1.2 million.

Total: 10.3 million

And yep, 4.7 million is for sure possible.

Look the Mario Kart DS sales:

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2005 2,636,531 N/A 2,636,531
2006 3,100,369 17.6% 5,736,900
2007 2,916,389 -5.9% 8,653,289
2008 4,351,380 49.2% 13,004,669
2009 3,522,025 -19.1% 16,526,694
2010 3,682,176 4.5% 20,208,870
2011 1,367,032 -62.9% 21,575,902
2012 759,556 -44.4% 22,335,458
2013 467,701 -38.4% 22,803,159
2014 144,402 -69.1% 22,947,561

Fuck, the DS is discontinued, but MK5 sell again like a monster!

Above 200K for sure this year.

The legs of this game are incredible, and i think that the legs of MK7 and MK8 will be this.



jonathanalis said:
While mk9 isnt releases, this game will sell.
MK Wii sold 1 million in 2013.
Im suposing that in 2015 Wii u will sell more than 2014, in 2016 will do 2014 numbers. Só, the base will grow, and mk8 will keeping selling.
I dont doubt it can sell 10 million. But 8 million lifetime is my bet.

Better prediction of this topic.



NintendoPie said:
drake_tolu said:

No, becase Mario Kart 7 will sell 15 million.

Also, you have predict less than 800K first week, and at the end.

Let's not bring up our past predictions. Remember, you're the one who said Wii U would do what, 40 million?

Anyhow, MK7 isn't selling 15 million. At most it'll sell 12.5 million. The 3DS is slowing down, and so are it's SW sales.

While 12.5 million isn't a ludicrously low estimate, it's a very low estimate for its maximum potential sales.

Of all the sales Mario Kart DS would have after week 100, weeks 100-150 accounted for 23%. 
For Mario Kart Wii, weeks 100-150 accounted for 51%. 
In order for Mario Kart 7 to fail to sell 12.5 million, weeks 100-150 would have to account for at least 60%.

Keep in mind that the Wii's drop after week 100-150 for MKWii was much larger than what you can expect the dropoff for the 3DS to be. If the 3DS were to have the same dropoff, it would sell 7 million over the next 12 months. That's an insane low end.

 

In other words, 12.5 million isn't completely impossible, it's certainly a potential low-end, but there's really no way you can claim it's the absolute high end.

I'm not even accounting for the digital sales of the title here. I have no knowledge of what they are, but the inclusion of them make 12.5 million an even more ridiculous high-end.