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Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD: Halo MCC Vs. LittleBigPlanet 3 Vs Smash WiiU

 

How will they rank?

Halo MCC, LBP3, Smash 24 4.80%
 
Halo MCC, Smash, LPB3 178 35.60%
 
Smash, Halo MCC, LBP3 212 42.40%
 
Smash, LBP3, Halo MCC 45 9.00%
 
LBP3, Halo MCC, Smash 12 2.40%
 
LBP3, Smash, Halo MCC 29 5.80%
 
Total:500
fatslob-:O on 25 October 2014
jlmurph2 said:


Why is the 10 days of Halo a factor but not the Xbox One install base compared to Wii U's?

I guess he didn't bother to check out the hardware sale totals for NA ...



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Bofferbrauer on 25 October 2014
jlmurph2 said:
Bofferbrauer said:
I'd say Smash, though the extra 10 days of Halo MCC might trump it for november, will probably be a very tough call. LBP is a much smaller franchise than the other 2, so think it will come last even though the PS4 has a much larger install base.


Why is the 10 days of Halo a factor but not the Xbox One install base compared to Wii U's?

That's because Smash Bros has a much higher attach rate compared to halo, roughly equalising both games  on these effects. Also, Halo MCC has many competing shooters which might lower early sales (especially CoD, which comes out one week earlier) while Smash has basically no concurrent at all.

edit: also, the difference of their install base is there but it ain't gigantic (2.9 to 3.55 millions according to the last update)



jlmurph2 on 25 October 2014
Bofferbrauer said:
jlmurph2 said:
Bofferbrauer said:
I'd say Smash, though the extra 10 days of Halo MCC might trump it for november, will probably be a very tough call. LBP is a much smaller franchise than the other 2, so think it will come last even though the PS4 has a much larger install base.


Why is the 10 days of Halo a factor but not the Xbox One install base compared to Wii U's?

That's because Smash Bros has a much higher attach rate compared to halo, roughly equalising both games  on these effects. Also, Halo MCC has many competing shooters which might lower early sales (especially CoD, which comes out one week earlier) while Smash has basically no concurrent at all.

edit: also, the difference of their install base is there but it ain't gigantic (2.9 to 3.55 millions according to the last update)


False. Halo 4, Reach, and 3 all have higher attach rates than Smash Bros Brawl.

There's another thing you didn't bother to look up.



HEMSTAR on 25 October 2014

Halo, Smash, LBP3



Farsala on 25 October 2014

Halo>Smash> LBP.

As seen with Destiny, Halo has the potential to sell similar numbers but a little less imo. Halo is also the big exclusive for XB1, with no cross platform. If people are looking to buy something that is not for any other console, then this is it.

Smash is also the big exclusive except for Wii U this time. Same as above but lower install base, so lower sales.

LBP is cross platform so is not considered a big exclusive. The only thing that makes this slightly competitive is because we will count PS4+PS3. Also the install base will certainly help. LBP is all legs though, it might make it to the December NPD.



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Chromeo on 25 October 2014

As much as I enjoy LBP, I don't think it has much of a chance here. Not against the other juggernauts.



Teeqoz on 25 October 2014

Lol, LBP doesn't stand a chance. It's not a frontloaded series, and it's not a big franchise compared to Halo or SSB.



Hedra42 on 25 October 2014

Halo>Smash>LBP.

Whether the 3DS version for Smash already being out is a pro or a con still remains to be seen, I think.



Bofferbrauer on 25 October 2014
jlmurph2 said:
Bofferbrauer said:
jlmurph2 said:
Bofferbrauer said:
I'd say Smash, though the extra 10 days of Halo MCC might trump it for november, will probably be a very tough call. LBP is a much smaller franchise than the other 2, so think it will come last even though the PS4 has a much larger install base.


Why is the 10 days of Halo a factor but not the Xbox One install base compared to Wii U's?

That's because Smash Bros has a much higher attach rate compared to halo, roughly equalising both games  on these effects. Also, Halo MCC has many competing shooters which might lower early sales (especially CoD, which comes out one week earlier) while Smash has basically no concurrent at all.

edit: also, the difference of their install base is there but it ain't gigantic (2.9 to 3.55 millions according to the last update)


False. Halo 4, Reach, and 3 all have higher attach rates than Smash Bros Brawl.

There's another thing you didn't bother to look up.

Yes and no.

Brawl actually didn't very well for it's install base, mostly because it got criticised back then for the subspace emissary (ironically, considering how well liked it is by now) and bad balancing, shying competitive players away. Smash Wii U doesn't seem to have this problem, so I'm pretty sure the attach rate of this console's Smash will be closer to Melee on the Gamecube than Brawl on the Wii. And that game had undeniably a better attach rate than any Halo on the Xbox 360.

Also, casual gamers wo didn't play any more complex games inflated the sales of the Wii, thus further lowering the attach rate of brawl.

And, like I said in the first post, It will be a very close call and I'm not saying that it would not be possible that my prediction is wrong.



vivster on 25 October 2014

How is being the only exclusive a pro for LBP? And how is LBP in competition with any of the games you mentioned?



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