^^^^^^^^^^^ in my opinion best prediction so far 

you meant 1300 for wiiu in december right?:P

drake_tolu said: Welfare said: Well I already have my predictions for the NPD threads, sooo... Month PS4 Xbox One Wii U October 345,000 310,000 56,000 November 829,000 784,000 261,000 December 1,064,000 952,000 432,000 My NPD prediction: Month October 400K 250K 110K November 900K 750K 450K December 1.8M 1M 800K

What in October is going to make the Wii U go over 100k? We already saw what Bayonetta did HW wise, and it was very little. November also seems very high, even for a holiday month. MK8 has already shown us that not many people will be buying Wii U's for 1st party software, so Smash won't do that much. Even with Black Friday, 450k is way too much. Same basically applies to December. Too much.

I have no idea how anyone can possibly expect the X1 to do more than 3 .5 million (and even then that's pushing it). Console normally do about as well in those three months than they do the rest of the year, no?

In this case, I expect the PS4 will get quite a boost, and it won't face supply constraints as serious as last year. By this reasoning, I think it'll do all around much better than Nov/Dec last year (plus it's out in a lot more countries). It'll do at least 6 million, and at most 7.5 across the 3 months.

The X1, I think, will definitely do worse than last year during launch. I've no idea why people think it'll suddenly come back from the dead. Aggressive bundles and the MCC will help it do better in NA/UK than it did last year, but that will offset by terrible performance everywhere else in the world (there won't be any launch hype this time so all those regions will remain dead to it). I think it'll do about 2.8 million, maybe 3 if it get's lucky.

Sure, you could argue that the 360 normally got bigger boosts but then it'd be simple to state that the reason for that was it's dominance in NA, which is no longer the case. We have to move forward and accept the new state of affairs.

The Wii U is pretty tough to predict. With Smash and Amiibos launching, Nintendo has a shot at a good boost but I think they will still flounder. 2.3-2.5 million is my estimate.

So, in conclusion:

PS4:

October: 1.2 million

November: 2.4 million

December: 2.9 million

X1:

October: 550k

November: 1.2 million

December: 1.3 million

Wii U:

October: 450k

November: 800k

December: 1 million

While I see a lot of people arguing otherwise, I think the PS4 will have a far bigger boost and a monster holiday season. People talk about the stronger MS library but there really isn't one (a new game from a mediocre developer and a collection of older remastered titles). Nintendo has Smash and Amiibos, but Amiibos will be niche and Smash will do well, just not as well as Nintendo needs it to do (at least, system selling wise). 

Sony only has LBP, but here's the thing, they don't actually need anything else. Secure a GTAV bundle and that'll be that for the Holidays. Heck, they don't even need to do any bundles and they'll still easily win by a landslide.