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Forums - Sales Discussion - Holiday Prediction Sales for Xb1, PS4, WiiU

fleischr on 07 October 2014

Keep in mind many consoles sell up to 2x better their 2nd holiday than their first. Plus Wii U was at around just shy of 2 million for this period last year.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

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fleischr on 07 October 2014

Stealing ka-96's PS4's prediction
Oct: 1.6m
Nov: 2.5m
Dec: 1.9m

Here's my X1 prediction
Oct: 1m
Nov: 1.7m
Dec: 1.2m

Wii U
Oct: 400k
Nov: 1.5
Dec: 1.3



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

StarDoor on 07 October 2014
Ka-pi96 said:
fleischr said:

X1 and Wii U sales almost the same as last year?

Already been adjusted, but yeah. Xbox One had incredible launch sales, so those again would be great. While Wii U has had very little improvement over the last year, so I'd be surprised if it manages to beat last year, but going much lower would just seem too low.

In terms of sales, the Wii U is up 50% from last year. What, exactly, are you referring to?



Mummelmann on 07 October 2014

That's a tough call, I'll make a guess:

PS4:

Oct: 1.1 million

Nov: 2 million

Dec: 2.7 million

 

One:

Oct: 700k

Nov: 1.5 million (good Black Friday, the battle for the US is only just beginning in the 8th gen)

Dec: 1.9 million

 

Wii U:

Oct: 300k

Nov: 700k

Dec: 1.35 million



Welfare on 07 October 2014

Updated as of 10/27/2014 7:51 AM EST

NPD

Month PS4 Xbox One Wii U
October 334,000 239,000 69,000
November 884,000 1,040,000 258,000
December 1,112,000 1,276,000 558,000
WW (+NPD)
Month PS4 Xbox One Wii U
October 1,078,000 419,000 154,000
November 2,526,000 1,825,000 533,000
December 3,370,000 2,239,000 1,265,000


Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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Xevross on 07 October 2014

Why not.....

WiiU

October: 220k

November: 750k

December: 1.3m

Total:  2.27m

X1

October: 630k

November: 1.5m

December: 1.7m

Total: 3.83m

PS4

October: 1.2m

November: 2.4m

December: 3.6m

Total: 7.2m

Edited quite a bit!



http://vizioneck.com/

OfficerRaichu15 on 07 October 2014

dang
PS4:
Oct: 1.5 million
Nov: 2 million
Dec: 3 million

One:
Oct: 700k
Nov: 1.45 million (master chief collection)
Dec: 1.8 million

Wii U:
Oct: 275k
Nov: 1.5 million(because of smash duh :P)
Dec: 1.35 million(agree with mummel unless theres a captain toad bundle then it would be higher :) )



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3

Intrinsic on 07 October 2014

PS4
OCT: 1.2M
NOV: 1.8M
DEC: 2.5M

XB1
OCT: 500k
NOV: 1.2M
DEC: 1.4M

WiiU
OCT: 300k
NOV:850k
DEC: 1M



Wazowski on 07 October 2014
ioi said:
Why would December be less than November?



because i'm n00b:p still like i stated that isnt my prediction just an example what how people should try to orginize their own posts.. Im on the move..when i get home i post my prediction on reserved area.



StarDoor on 07 October 2014
Ka-pi96 said:

It's actually only up by 37%, amounting to only a 510k increase. Which is entirely due to Mario Kart 8, in fact now that the MK boost is pretty much gone the Wii U's September sales of 175,694 are actually below last Septembers sales of 189,382. So yeah if it's September sales aren't any higher than last years then I don't really expect it's Oct-Dec sales to be either.

As of September 28, 2013, the Wii U had sold 1,282,625 units in 2013. As of September 27, 2014, the Wii U has sold 1,887,717 units in 2014. 1,887,717 minus 1,282,625 is a difference of 605,092. 605,092 divided by 1,282,625 is 0.47, or 47%. The Wii U is up 47% since last year.

As for September sales, you're using the Hardware Year-on-Year chart, correct? It's completely wrong. Look at the Wii U's weekly sales on the September 2013 charts. It only sold around 117k that month, but for some reason, the YoY chart adds the first week of October to September 2013's numbers. Seriously, go look at it. It's very strange.

But anyways, the Wii U is up by a very healthy amount this year, and I can't imagine it selling any less than last year for this holiday season. I might post some predictions later.