Not a chance in hell.
(1)- Too many holdouts on 360. COD players have never cared about graphics, why should that change now? As long as PS360 versions are available, tons of players will just buy the 360 version.
(2)- COD is primarily a strong player only in the US market. It's not that popular elsewhere, and 10M on PS4 and XB1 is .. not believable in the US through Dec 31st. I'd be shocked if COD:AW PS4XB1 hits 10M lifetime to be honest.
(3)- This fall has too much going on. Destiny just launched, and a core group of those players will skip COD this year. GTAV is coming, that will steal a fair number of casuals who will just buy that instead. And perhaps worst of all, MCC will wreck AW on XB1. The core FPS fans on Xbox will eat that up, and with 4 games and ~100 MP maps, it's not going to be something they casually swap back and forth with AW.
(4)- The COD:AW XB1 bundle is priced stupidly high, nobody is going to want to spend $500 on it in any quantity, 1TB hdd or not. If it were $399, I'd bet on it doing pretty well, but nah. TBH most COD fans can tell that they'd be better off with $399 XB1 bundle w/SO or whatever + $60 AW = $40 cheaper and you get an extra game. Doh.
(5)- I say all of this as someone who has never really cared much for COD, but who thinks AW looks better than any of the series in a looooong time. So while I may think it deserves a good reception, I don't think it's going to do all that well. Expect performance around Ghosts levels, + or - a little bit.
