I guess Etho is just lucky to be on the right side

You think stores kept X1's for months without trying to sell them? Prices were dropped when they didn't sell, and then they still didn't sell much at all. 

Living in Scandinavia I don't find it difficult to believe that the One got a small boost from being released officially here.
- There was no advertising before this release, and very limited press coverage.
-Imports were not compatible with local apps and language. If you have little kids you want the one that is compatible with the only language they speak.

The 360 did well here, especially as the PS3 was out of stock forever. Playstation is certainly the more popular brand now, but an extra few thousand consoles in launch week isn't weird at all.

If we see a similar drop in Tier 2 countries to that in Japan, then yeah, the baseline will not get that much of a boost at all.

Xbox has always done terrible in Japan, so a drop that huge (84.8%) is not likely in these new countries. If they did however, that is an extra 4.5k per week in Europe.

I think a increase of 11k to the baseline is more likely. (A drop of 63%)

3k isn't the baseline in Japan though. Baseline will be sub-1k. Second week for tier 2 might be 11k but its baseline will likely be less than 5k.

That's waayy too high. The X1 doesn't have many selling points in those countries to justify a purchase, not to mention, it didn't have a good launch in those Tier 2 countries either. Baseline will only be boosted by about 5k.

I should clarify, I was talking about when it launches in all the European countries this month, thought I got rid of the % in that sentence. Isn't the One going to be in 18 different European countries? That's ~600 for each country every week. That is probably going to be close to Japan's baseline, so it seems likely.

lol @ Sony fans thinking ps4 will be able to compete now Xb1 is in tier 2 countries. Just wait until Xb1 is in tier 3,4 and 5 countires. PS4 2013 -2014 :/

I assume China will be incorporated into ROW?