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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Bold prediction: PS4 will sell 1.5 million this month.

800k npd is possible imho. 5 week month and it really looks like people waited for this bundle. Globally 1.5 seems very possible. If Japan wasn't dead to home consoles I would believe in 2m being in reach. I do think 2015 numbers at 299 euros/299 dollars/29900 yen can hit it if they bundle right again.



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That is indeed a bold prediction, but not impossible either. I think it depends on whether the PS4 picks up in Japan this month and how much it sells on NPD. If the PS4 manages to sell like 700k on NPD, then yeah, 1.5M is definitely possible. However, it's really hard to predict the outcome. Even if the PS4 doesn't hit 1.5M for September, it will get pretty close to that target.



Sounds about right.. Going for 2M would be bolder :P



I'm not sure Sony has the production capability for that...



450k-500k in NPD is extremely likely. 360 did 528k when Halo 3 launched, and when you have the second fastest selling home console in the US, plus the most pre-ordered new IP and a new SKU color bundled together, I think PS4 can get somewhat close to Halo 3 numbers.

Everywhere else is going to probably equal to close to 1 million, so 1.5 million in September seems very possible.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

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1.25 million...

Meh, i have said "bold prediction", so is ok...



drake_tolu said:
1.25 million...

Meh, i have said "bold prediction", so is ok...


It was surprisingly close though...

 

Plus, i think PS4 is undertracked in usa so......



drake_tolu said:
1.25 million...

Meh, i have said "bold prediction", so is ok...

Yeah I wouldn't say anything yet, wait til NPD before judging. 1.5m may still be right



Not bold enough



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

OttoniBastos said:
drake_tolu said:
1.25 million...

Meh, i have said "bold prediction", so is ok...


It was surprisingly close though...

 

Plus, i think PS4 is undertracked in usa so......


250k undertracked in just USA is a lot.

But yay probably 1.35m. Congratz OP =D