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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction : PS4 will have a 1.5M+ gap over XB1 in the US by Jan 1st, 2015

 

Will the PS4 have at least a 1.5M lead on XB1 by Jan 1st in the USA?

Yes 201 78.21%
 
No 37 14.40%
 
Wii U will beat them both put together! 19 7.39%
 
Total:257

Probably an accurate prediction. The days of CoD dominance are over in November. PS4 has a bigger install base in the US and even if X1 sells more copies, it won't be the 2 million difference of past years. There's a 50k difference in NA with Ghosts and PS4 will trounce it world wide regardless.

The gap will continue to grow every month. The sports fan is already on board with PS4 with the Madden news tonight. The shooter crowd will likely take time to move over but Destiny will help move that along. The MCC is a great value and service to fans but it won't change the game. The last castle that is CoD will fall in time.



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Phronesis said:
I laughed so loud about this:

"Microsoft may really start panicking if the next Call of Duty, a series that historically performed much better on Xbox One and Xbox 360, sells better on PS4."

'Cause you know, it's true. Microsoft is financing CoD even though Advanced Warfare is 886p on Xone and 1080p on PS4. So the chances of a PS4 best seller are good.


doubt it be that low drift0r has commented that the rez's are different though http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvmshXwk1vU

considering that noone has confirmed the rez for it on xb1 yet does have me worried that it wont be 1080p cause if it was im sure we would of heard about it either by activision or MS by now

as for the prediction in this thread it aint really that bold id go for a even 2M if you want more attention



                                                             

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BHR-3 said:
Phronesis said:
I laughed so loud about this:

"Microsoft may really start panicking if the next Call of Duty, a series that historically performed much better on Xbox One and Xbox 360, sells better on PS4."

'Cause you know, it's true. Microsoft is financing CoD even though Advanced Warfare is 886p on Xone and 1080p on PS4. So the chances of a PS4 best seller are good.


doubt it be that low drift0r has commented that the rez's are different though http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvmshXwk1vU

considering that noone has confirmed the rez for it on xb1 yet does have me worried that it wont be 1080p cause if it was im sure we would of heard about it either by activision or MS by now

as for the prediction in this thread it aint really that bold id go for a even 2M if you want more attention

FYI this is where I saw the info: http://www.ign.com/wikis/xbox-one/PS4_vs._Xbox_One_Native_Resolutions_and_Framerates



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Aura7541 said:
I can see that lead grow to over 1 million, but 1.5 million is pushing it.

1+ million will be hit by October 1st (proof will be September NPD release).

I don't think another 500k from October 1st to Dec 31st is outrageous. In fact it might be under-betting it a bit, but I still think Microsoft will get more aggressive with sales. I expect a lot of unofficial $349 and even lower specials with games/XBLG/etc thrown in.



the momentum of the ps4 is incredible right now,sony is gonna find a way to sell more copies of halo5 on ps4 than xone,and its a ms exclusive. thats how good its doing



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We'll see how MS goes in the holidays and how much appeal MCC has but I'm inclined to agree with you here. FC4, GTA5, and Destiny will all sell significantly during the holidays and they all have exclusive advertising with Playstation and exclusive content deals (especially FC4 with the keys). Then you have LBP3 which is a GREAT family title with local co-op to give them some of that Nintendo appeal coupled with their lead going in and the friend networks taking effect and you may have a big PS4 holidays. Hell Driveclub could have a bigger impact than Forza given that it's not a yearly title (Madden of racing games) and doesn't have a PS3 version (yes I know LBP3 has a PS3 version as well so this could apply to that as well).




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Aura7541 said:
I can see that lead grow to over 1 million, but 1.5 million is pushing it.


We're getting there :) ~1M now with Oct, Nov, Dec to go :D

~166k per month average for 3 months will do it.

I think supply constraints or insane Xbox deals ($299) could prevent 1.5M from being the gap.



Arkaign said:
Aura7541 said:
I can see that lead grow to over 1 million, but 1.5 million is pushing it.


We're getting there :) ~1M now with Oct, Nov, Dec to go :D

~166k per month average for 3 months will do it.

I think supply constraints or insane Xbox deals ($299) could prevent 1.5M from being the gap.

Which is why Sony should really release more bundles in the US, especially the GTAV bundle.



Why does it seem that all bold prediction in favour of ps4 ends up being not that bold but for X1/WiiU they end up preposterous boom.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

I put it upon myself to choose the Wii option.

Just to balance out the results



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