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Uncharted IV Primed to hit 10 Million Sold Lifetime?

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overman1 said:
DerNebel said:

Last I heard it was at 7 million shipped on PS3, don't get me wrong TLOU on PS3 is definitely undertracked but it has not sold through 7 million copies.

http://www.ign.com/articles/2014/07/16/the-last-of-us-sales-pass-7-million-with-new-dlc-coming

Exactly that's the shipment number.



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WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:
WagnerPaiva said:
with a ten million console install base? nope. Probably the PS4 will have a 20 million install base when Uncharted 4 launches, so I guess it can do 4 million in the first year, with some luck. 6 million lifetime.


You think it will only have a 20 million install base by late 2015? It'l be past 16 maybe 17 million by the end of 2014....

In that case, even less: 3 million first year and 5 million lifetime. However, do not get me wrong, I will buy it.


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.



Teeqoz said:
WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:
WagnerPaiva said:
with a ten million console install base? nope. Probably the PS4 will have a 20 million install base when Uncharted 4 launches, so I guess it can do 4 million in the first year, with some luck. 6 million lifetime.


You think it will only have a 20 million install base by late 2015? It'l be past 16 maybe 17 million by the end of 2014....

In that case, even less: 3 million first year and 5 million lifetime. However, do not get me wrong, I will buy it.


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.

Oh. then 6 million.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.

Oh. then 6 million.

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?



                                                                                                                                            

CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.

Oh. then 6 million.

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

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WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.

Too many things wrong with these comparisons. Let's look at ShadowFall - it's poised to overtake KZ3 - and launched on a FAR lower userbase. No new Halo has released, so that's irrelevant. The "brilliance of Uncharted" and what's in your collection are also moot. Wii Sports - um, nobody suggested that Uncharted 4 would sell like it (not sure how such a comparison even makes sense when speaking even figuratively).

Bottom line, install bases grow with new releases, especially from acclaimed series'. Thus, saying it will sell 6 million max is low balling the game.



                                                                                                                                            

CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.

Too many things wrong with these comparisons. Let's look at ShadowFall - it's poised to overtake KZ3 - and launched on a FAR lower userbase. No new Halo has released, so that's irrelvant. The "brilliance of Uncharted" and what's in your collection is also moot. Wii Sports - um, nobody suggested that Uncharted 4 would sell like it (not sure how such a comparison even makes sense when speaking even figuratively).

Bottom line, install bases grow with new releases, especially from acclaimed series'. Thus, saying it will sell 6 million max is low balling the game.


The thing is: I don´t really know man, i just gave my opinion.  I am no expert. heck,  I barelly can speak english. 6 million sounded good to me, but, well, the more, the merrier; 10 million, 20 million... Naughty dog sure deserves it...

I talked about my collection because I thought that you treating me like a uncharted hater or something... Clearly not the case, just see my trophy collection, it is all there.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

-snip


The thing is: I don´t really know man, i just gave my opinion.  I am no expert. heck,  I barelly can speak english. 6 million sounded good to me, but, well, the more, the merrier; 10 million, 20 million... Naughty dog sure deserves it...

I talked about my collection because I thought that you treating me like a uncharted hater or something... Clearly not the case, just see my trophy collection, it is all there.

None of us are experts with this, but you can make calls based on trends/research/data. Saying that Uncharted 4 will sell only 6 million max, in my view, short changes the game a bit.

Also, don't fret regarding your English. I understood you, just didn't agree. :)



                                                                                                                                            

WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.

Oh. then 6 million.

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.


Past 30m install base means shit all.

20m user base or 80 halo still sold 8m plus.



WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.

Too many things wrong with these comparisons. Let's look at ShadowFall - it's poised to overtake KZ3 - and launched on a FAR lower userbase. No new Halo has released, so that's irrelvant. The "brilliance of Uncharted" and what's in your collection is also moot. Wii Sports - um, nobody suggested that Uncharted 4 would sell like it (not sure how such a comparison even makes sense when speaking even figuratively).

Bottom line, install bases grow with new releases, especially from acclaimed series'. Thus, saying it will sell 6 million max is low balling the game.


The thing is: I don´t really know man, i just gave my opinion.  I am no expert. heck,  I barelly can speak english. 6 million sounded good to me, but, well, the more, the merrier; 10 million, 20 million... Naughty dog sure deserves it...

I talked about my collection because I thought that you treating me like a uncharted hater or something... Clearly not the case, just see my trophy collection, it is all there.

The first Uncharted launched when ps3 have 6 millions install base and sold 30k first week and end with 4.7m what i mean by that Uncharted is a leggy games and sell very well in long term,the same will happen with Uncharted 4 the more ps4 sell the more Uncharted 4 will sell



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m