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Forums - Sales Discussion - Uncharted IV Primed to hit 10 Million Sold Lifetime?

WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
Teeqoz said:


Huh? I said that by the end of 2014, an entire year befor UC4 launches, the PS4 would be at 17 million, while you said that the PS4 will only have 20 million sold by the time UC4 launches (late 2015). Realistically tge PS4 will be somewhere between 33 and 40 million.

Oh. then 6 million.

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.


Past 30m install base means shit all.

20m user base or 80 halo still sold 8m plus.



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WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.

Too many things wrong with these comparisons. Let's look at ShadowFall - it's poised to overtake KZ3 - and launched on a FAR lower userbase. No new Halo has released, so that's irrelvant. The "brilliance of Uncharted" and what's in your collection is also moot. Wii Sports - um, nobody suggested that Uncharted 4 would sell like it (not sure how such a comparison even makes sense when speaking even figuratively).

Bottom line, install bases grow with new releases, especially from acclaimed series'. Thus, saying it will sell 6 million max is low balling the game.


The thing is: I don´t really know man, i just gave my opinion.  I am no expert. heck,  I barelly can speak english. 6 million sounded good to me, but, well, the more, the merrier; 10 million, 20 million... Naughty dog sure deserves it...

I talked about my collection because I thought that you treating me like a uncharted hater or something... Clearly not the case, just see my trophy collection, it is all there.

The first Uncharted launched when ps3 have 6 millions install base and sold 30k first week and end with 4.7m what i mean by that Uncharted is a leggy games and sell very well in long term,the same will happen with Uncharted 4 the more ps4 sell the more Uncharted 4 will sell



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

CGI-Quality said:
WagnerPaiva said:
CGI-Quality said:

You expect Uncharted 4 to sell less than its two latest predecessors? Why?

install base. I have 4 uncharted games in my collection, all brilliant. But that does not mean they will sell like wii sports, sometimes the worst games win. see killzone X halo.

Too many things wrong with these comparisons. Let's look at ShadowFall - it's poised to overtake KZ3 - and launched on a FAR lower userbase. No new Halo has released, so that's irrelevant. The "brilliance of Uncharted" and what's in your collection are also moot. Wii Sports - um, nobody suggested that Uncharted 4 would sell like it (not sure how such a comparison even makes sense when speaking even figuratively).

Bottom line, install bases grow with new releases, especially from acclaimed series'. Thus, saying it will sell 6 million max is low balling the game.

Ok. I will buy it day one, if i am alive and everything... =D



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

After Uncharted 3 I wasn't really impressed but playing Golden Abyss on PSV I really need more Uncharted! I don't think it will crack 10 million, I think it's not a game everyone loves despite it's quality. Sometimes the solo gameplay can be too repetitive as well. Maybe if they spice up the game by adding extra things to do during the game, extra things to find and splitting up the action and puzzle solving bits well.

Although unlikely, I hope they make it less linear. Not talking massive choices that can be made but like going through a different window, climbing different walls etc.



CGI-Quality said:
alrightiwill said:
After Uncharted 3 I wasn't really impressed but playing Golden Abyss on PSV I really need more Uncharted! I don't think it will crack 10 million, I think it's not a game everyone loves despite it's quality. Sometimes the solo gameplay can be too repetitive as well. Maybe if they spice up the game by adding extra things to do during the game, extra things to find and splitting up the action and puzzle solving bits well.

Although unlikely, I hope they make it less linear. Not talking massive choices that can be made but like going through a different window, climbing different walls etc.

I don't think selling 10 million means everyone loves it (especially when it's a mere 3.5 million more than what Uncharted is capable of selling). It would just signify major growth in the franchise, and after all The Last Of Us buzz, in addition to people jumping from the 360 to PS4, 10 million doesn't really seem too out of reach.

In the long run, after reading all your considerations, it seems very possible.

How much will THE LAST OF US REMASTER sell in your opinion? I am interested in the way you think.

By the way, I think TLofU - R will do 2 million lifetime. 3 million with digital sales...



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

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Oh what I mean is that, as the game currently stands, it appeals to a more 'core' group rather than having an ever increasing market. TLOU had much more variety than what Uncharted offers(at least U3 that is). If they can bring elements of TLOU into U4 then I can see it making it great ground.



DerNebel said:
overman1 said:
DerNebel said:

Last I heard it was at 7 million shipped on PS3, don't get me wrong TLOU on PS3 is definitely undertracked but it has not sold through 7 million copies.

http://www.ign.com/articles/2014/07/16/the-last-of-us-sales-pass-7-million-with-new-dlc-coming

Exactly that's the shipment number.

Doesnt say that in the article...besides this was in late 2013. i would like to believe it has sold more than that. this game is still in the top 100 best sellers list here in the US



overman1 said:
DerNebel said:
overman1 said:
DerNebel said:

Last I heard it was at 7 million shipped on PS3, don't get me wrong TLOU on PS3 is definitely undertracked but it has not sold through 7 million copies.

http://www.ign.com/articles/2014/07/16/the-last-of-us-sales-pass-7-million-with-new-dlc-coming

Exactly that's the shipment number.

Doesnt say that in the article...besides this was in late 2013. i would like to believe it has sold more than that. this game is still in the top 100 best sellers list here in the US

....the article is from the middle of July...

When they say sold like that and don't specify it, then they almost always mean sold to retailers/shipped.



DerNebel said:
overman1 said:
DerNebel said:
overman1 said:
DerNebel said:

Last I heard it was at 7 million shipped on PS3, don't get me wrong TLOU on PS3 is definitely undertracked but it has not sold through 7 million copies.

http://www.ign.com/articles/2014/07/16/the-last-of-us-sales-pass-7-million-with-new-dlc-coming

Exactly that's the shipment number.

Doesnt say that in the article...besides this was in late 2013. i would like to believe it has sold more than that. this game is still in the top 100 best sellers list here in the US

....the article is from the middle of July...

When they say sold like that and don't specify it, then they almost always mean sold to retailers/shipped.

Oh yeah, it is from mid July and 

no...I can remember any company having to say thier games sold a certain number through to customers. for me they said Sales not Shipped. "Shipped " is what game companies usually say. Besides, Naughty Dog has no need to lie or manipulate numbers. they are doing extreemly well with this new IP.



Doubtful. 6-8 million is much more realistic.



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