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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will PS4 reach 10 million sold? - ioi comments on undertracking

You guys need to understand, I am NOT saying VgChartz is right. I am saying that VgChartz is not necessary wrong because one piece of information was released by a source.

It seems to be a pretty general consensus that Sony is 100% right with their sales figure, and I want to set people straight that the # Sony released is not necessary perfectly accurate.



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

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BeElite said:
joeorc said:

 

Hell for all we know Sony invested into a program to do just exactly the type of tracking this very site does, as a matter of fact they may even have a better programming technique that may give them a more accurate result! 


Like shipment - retailer - sold out of all stock begging for more due to empty shelves ?  As they said more then 10m so they could have had more then 10m PS4 do a system update, and log on from 10m individual ips.  

They are so many way for them to have damn near perfect accurate numbers, but some want to deny  2 +2 = 4

I'm sure Samsung had perfectly accurate #'s too, yet they told us they sold twice as many as they actually did. So with your logic, how exactly is this possible?



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

You see, this whole controversy wouldn't be that big a deal if the moderators didn't constantly add more fuel to the fire and use arguments about as logic-proof as the Flat Earth Theory. I mean look at this ioi post right here:

ioi said:
Burek said:

Every even remotely knowledgable user outside the US creates a US account to have access to cheaper games.

As an example, I live in Croatia, and on my console I have 1 Croatian and 13 US accounts which I used to buy games. Hundreds of others do the same, as well as numerous others across Europe and Asia. 

If this is the method you use to estimate sales data, no wonder you are missing 600k consoles...

I never said it was a fool-proof method, it is the ONLY way we have to estimate the sales in those regions. Data is virtually impossible to collect from those countries for a number of reasons so the only chance we have to cover them is to examine user data and make some logical assumptions.

Let's get back to basics - all sales tracking works from the same basic principle - you get data for a sample of known size, figure out how that sample relates to the entire populus and extrapolate it to get an estimate.

Nobody knows exactly how many units of a video game product have been sold in a given region, never mind in the entire world! There are thousands of retailers and it is impossible (or cost ineffective) to collect data from them all.

"I never said it was a fool-proof method, it is the ONLY method"

Well, then your ONLY method is a quite inaccurate one, isn't it? Then why are you surprised that you're missing 600k units (a measly 6% of the total)? I use Burek's method too and it's quite logical. So unless you somehow estimated how may people do this (which is quite impossible), it is VERY likely that you will undertrack in many second-world and third-world countries. SO WHY THE SURPRISE?

 
"Nobody knows exactly how many units of a video game product have been sold in a given region. (...) You get data for a sample of known size, figure out how that sample relates to the entire populus and extrapolate it to get an estimate."

And that's COMPLETELY FINE. I assure you, nobody is pointing fingers because you're a few % off, the general trend is apparent and everyone understands that there is some margin of error in there. Extrapolating and estimating is one thing, but refusing to accept official numbers because it doesn't fit you estimation is quite another! I mean you have to see how ridiculous this approach is!

We like this website and most of us will not leave because of this, but you have to understand that you're shooting yourself in the foot by presenting inaccruate data even when there's an official source that can provide accurate ones. Sticking to official data and extrapolating from there is the correct statistical method, not sticking to your estimations in spite of it.

 

AND THEN THERE'S STARCRAFT, who has the AUDACITY to insult us with the typical "I want to see you do better" and "What do you expect for $0,00" and "We can do whatever we want with OUR website" arguments like we're f***ing kindergarteners or something. That doesn't even deserve a response.   



outlawauron said:
Nicklesbe said:
outlawauron said:

I have worked in retail and I've even spoken to regional manager about this specific thing. They don't report on this data on a daily basis, and they certainly don't send back information that's less than 2 days old. You're grossly overestimated the competence of the people, systems, and PoS.

Less then 2 days old? VGC has been wrong every single week because unlike sony they are guessing. Yeah I really don't believe you have, at least you've never held a managerial position and I highly doubt you asked anyone about it, if you had they would have told you the same thing. Every single week that information is collected and sent to corporate along current stock/new stock needed. 

No. What I'm saying is that the retailers are not compiling all of that data and sending it back to Sony in such a short period of time. It's naive to believe data up to the 10th was entirely given to them by retailers. I do enjoy your defense is just that I'm lying and make stuff up. Please continue telling me about how I'm making it up and that your anecdotes are absolute truths for all retailers.

You act like this is a huge amount of data and it's not. VGC doesn't get their numbers directly from the retailers nor do the firms they hire. As I said they pay varias managers for some of the information they were sending in anyways. Sony does get the information directly from the retailers. You are obviously inexperienced in the field and have no idea what you are talking about so yes it is fair to assume you are just making things up. That much is obvious since you fail to grasp the basic concept of bookkeeping. Why is it so hard to understand the basic concept that at the end of every week a manager and staff will take stock of inventory, they will compile what needs to be restocked, what needs to be rotated out, and they will have compiled lists that go with each product of what sold and when. Then those lists along with the orders/cancellations for the next week are sent to the appropriate vendors/product manufactures. It's not complicated I literally do it every friday.

 

Quarterly reviews, fiscal years review are only for public/investor consumption. It is completely separate from the close relationship retailers have with vendors/manufacturers. I am sorry if you are offended by me calling bullshit on you but it absolutly is. It doesn't matter if its an Xb1 or a bottle of Sunny D those businesses, those producers depend on those numbers. You can bet your ass they will get them every week. It's insanity and just plain ignorance to how the retail industry works to think that the producers are just going to throw their products out there and make educated guesses on what sold based on estimates like VGC does. It's maddness, they have close relationships with their retail partners. It doesn't matter what region or country, if a retailer invests in their product they are going to try and have a close relationship with them and make sure they get the sales numbers weekly, and sometimes even biweekly that their business depends on. If a business doesn't do that then they are a bad business and irresponsible with their products and they will probably go out of business quickly.   



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All Hail the Jester King. The King is back, and I am still a dirty girl prof ;)

Could it possibly be that they lied? Nooooooo. But you are right, there is absolutely no way shape or form that Sony could have lied in similar fashion.

 


Well than lets just ignore all sales data than, because all companies could be wrong and they all lie, hell lets just have no sales tracking service at all. If All companies just lie about the numbers.



I AM BOLO

100% lover "nothing else matter's" after that...

ps:

Proud psOne/2/3/p owner.  I survived Aplcalyps3 and all I got was this lousy Signature.

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joeorc said:

Could it possibly be that they lied? Nooooooo. But you are right, there is absolutely no way shape or form that Sony could have lied in similar fashion.


Well than lets just ignore all sales data than, because all companies could be wrong and they all lie, hell lets just have no sales tracking service at all. If All companies just lie about the numbers.

I never said that, but you DO need to know that there is always a risk of untruthful information that we hear from companies. Just because a company says something, don't immediately assume it must be 100% true.



Money can't buy happiness. Just video games, which make me happy.

Baalzamon said:
BeElite said:

1 Vg does not even know PS4 production numbers, or the markets PS4 is sold in and how many shipped there.

They lack BASIC information.  Hilariously given the markets PS4 is in and Sony knowing how much they shipped, the figure is around 50 for that alone lol. Probably more 1-1000 but i dont want to sound harash.  

2  We all know its wrong, even owner pretty much said so.  He does not claim to be right you know, he doe snot "know"where the extra sales are.  

3 - Yahh thats casue they adjust to them buddy. 

1. You are still making up figures. I don't care what information Sony has. First off, PS4 production #'s have nothing to do with sales to consumers. Nothing at all. Even shipped to areas is a really hard figure to conclude sales to consumers off of. You still have units sitting in distribution centers and stores themselves. If these distribution centers decided to stock up on more units due to high demand, they may have made additional orders. This does NOT conclude there were more sales. It could just mean there are 750,000 PS4s sitting in distribution centers instead of 300,000 sitting in distribution centers. Or stores may now actually have 10-15 PS4s each, where they were previously sold out, so there were not any. So this information you keep telling me that Sony has doesn't mean their sales to consumers # is any more accurate than what is provided to us by VgChartz.

2. No, we do not all know that it is wrong. Could it be wrong? Yea, it certainly could. But you seem to not be able to comprehend that Sony claiming these sales does not immediately mean they are 100% true. Samsung had 10,000x (haha) more information than others regarding the Samsung Galaxy sales too, and it was later determined that they sold half as many as they claimed to sell. So how could this possibly happen. They had SO much more information, but only sold half as many as they claimed. Could it possibly be that they lied? Nooooooo. But you are right, there is absolutely no way shape or form that Sony could have lied in similar fashion.

3. EXACTLY. So the current VgChartz estimates are accurate with the 3rd party trackers. So the ONLY difference between our VgChartz # and the Sony # is information not provided by 3rd party trackers. You told me that you don't only base your information on Sony...but the ONLY information out there supporting 10m consoles sold to consumers comes from just Sony. There are no 3rd party trackers that support this conclusion, just Sony. So don't tell me you are basing information on a multitude of sources, when the ONLY source for the current discrepency is Sony themselves.


1 Just like vg are, im guesstamating.  But its only logical Sony knows how much they ship to every marlet they ship to.  So if there 50 markets they ship to they have 50 times more info VG has. Whats so hard to understand for you? why so desperate to argue agianst the higher PS4 numbers.  Does PS4 success hurt you ?  Sony has access to info vg could only dream of.  What dont you understand, everyone on her eknows that inclusing vg and ioi.

You can go by the one with all the info in existance at their finger tips or the other side that guesses alot and uses 360/PS3 old numbers to do so.  That alone opens up a world of problmes.

2 We know their wrong casue ioi said they are lol, he him self said PS4 is undertracked in plenty Euro makret comapred to 3rd party numebrs.  AKA like Germany LOL.  Go read the thread maybe.  

3 Ill go with their numbers over VG who haev been wrong pretty much every month this year on some console.  They are still wrong in Germany and other markets but dont readjust casue it cancles out them being wrong in a different market.   Vg is willing leaving wrong numbers.  Im not going by their false info im go by what i see in official 3rd party numbers and sony ones.  Sonys numbers fit with all ther others.  Vgs does not, ioi him self said Vg euro numbers are undertracked.  So vg is wrong comapred to 3rd party trackers, but they cant adjust casue it screws up their already flawed system of guesstamating.   

Vg is wrong, ioi knows they are he just does not know where he said so him self.  Undertand lol ?

Your arguing is hilarious, read the dudes post before your next essey.



Baalzamon said:
BeElite said:
joeorc said:

 

Hell for all we know Sony invested into a program to do just exactly the type of tracking this very site does, as a matter of fact they may even have a better programming technique that may give them a more accurate result! 


Like shipment - retailer - sold out of all stock begging for more due to empty shelves ?  As they said more then 10m so they could have had more then 10m PS4 do a system update, and log on from 10m individual ips.  

They are so many way for them to have damn near perfect accurate numbers, but some want to deny  2 +2 = 4

I'm sure Samsung had perfectly accurate #'s too, yet they told us they sold twice as many as they actually did. So with your logic, how exactly is this possible?

but but but but but but but samsung.

wtf do they have to do with anything, do they have chart ndp MC showing them sales in major markets ?

LOL



Baalzamon said:
joeorc said:

Could it possibly be that they lied? Nooooooo. But you are right, there is absolutely no way shape or form that Sony could have lied in similar fashion.


Well than lets just ignore all sales data than, because all companies could be wrong and they all lie, hell lets just have no sales tracking service at all. If All companies just lie about the numbers.

I never said that, but you DO need to know that there is always a risk of untruthful information that we hear from companies. Just because a company says something, don't immediately assume it must be 100% true.

Except fot the company that is Vgchartz , right that company would never put out wrong information?  Right, you csnnot have it both ways you are putting into Question Sonys numbers, well and out right calling that they could be telling a fib. Well what about this very site? Would you call into Question its Ethic's?

Like you are of Sony's right now?



I AM BOLO

100% lover "nothing else matter's" after that...

ps:

Proud psOne/2/3/p owner.  I survived Aplcalyps3 and all I got was this lousy Signature.

Ka-pi96 said:
OttoniBastos said:
I'm sorry but is ioi implying that Sony lied about 10 million and vgchartz numbers are more accurate?

No. He is saying he doesn't know where the difference between VGC and Sony numbers comes from and is trying to find it and can't adjust the figures until he actually knows where it came from.

Why can't people understand this?