VGChartz numbers... yes.

Reality, I don´t think MS has 1.0mi XOne on shelves since and of June (800k shipped last quarter?) and hasn´t sold any since then.

tbone51 said: Whats going on with 2-3 predictions a day Toasty? Calm down, wat happens if your wrong with alot of them, in a couple months people going to necro bump those threads and every week as you made a **** ton of them Anyway..... 6 million+ by the end of september is possible homies especially if Xbox One is undertracked in other regions like PS4 was! 6.8 million by the end of October 10 million by the end of November 12 million by the end of december Da fuq makes you think November will have sold 3.2mil that month? Your expecting X1 to sell 650k+ per week? (if its a 4 week month then 800k!)

yes november is a 4 week month

3.2 million seems way off, ur right

make it 1.7m

make december  2m

get 10.5m at the end of december

my guess is that:

6m end of september

6.5m end of october (still only 4 weeks month)

8m end of november

10m end of december

Hmm...I'm pretty confident that I'm gonna pick up an Xbox One shortly, but I'm really getting it for Destiny, Halo MCC, and Halo 5. I feel like I would buy one if any of those games were bundled with the system, but it doesn't look like they've announced anything so far...

According to NPD XO is OE (OverEstimate) by 150,000.

In Germany for neogaf by 20,000.

Only with this market, XO is overestimate by 170,000.

5,040,000 (VGC) - 170,000 (Correct number): 4,870,000...

But much probabily is overestimate even in othe countries of Europe.

So, i think that the really number XBOX ONE by 2 Augost is 4,800,000, little more maybe.

Will sell other 200,000 this month, and by 30 Augost will break 5,000,000, according to VGchartz, 5.2-5.3 million.

Yep, for VGChartz probabily over 6 million, but for me between 5,500,000 and 5,800,000 will be official number.

No way....

Microsoft shipped more than 5mi Xones by the end of March, and they shipped between 500k to 900k in the last quarter.

I realy think hard to belive there were so many unsold units for almost 5 months.

Unless Europe and the rest of the world are going to a very, very different pattern in sales with the USA. Or the other 21 countries affect the global sales more than the 10% I belive. 

Sounds plausible.

again:

3m woldwide end of 2013 sales

~ 1400k us ytd sales end of august 2014 (assuming xb1 will do 172k units in august npd esay possible with that madden bundle)

that would leave just 600k units for 7 month sales in every other tier 1 market

in general canada sales are 10% of us sales = ~140k  in 2014

germany? we know its  70k end of june, so probably ~85k end of august

what about uk? 300k - 350k only, or even more?

+ fance (is similar to germany. we just know they sold 25k more xb1 at launch than germany 125k vs 100k) = ~70 - 100k for 2014 sales

= ~595 -  675k sales

and without any sales form austalia, brazil, mexico, nz, and any other european tier1 country

xb1 is possible undertracked here, just like the ps4,too. not in germany but in some other territories

Shipment, ok, but sold?

XO have sold 4,200,000, and shipment 5,000,000 (number by march).

If have shipment other 500K-900K, the total is 5,500,000-5,900,000 XBOX ONE shipment, so, much probabily that the XBOX ONE sales is less than 5,000,000:

5,5M or 5,9M - 800K = 4.7M or 5.1M, maybe even less...

I'm thinking it'll be more like 5.6m at the end of September. While anything can happen because of Destiny and the new countries release I'll be super shocked if it gets to 6m. Also your predictions for after that point are just way too optimistic