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Forums - Sales Discussion - PREDICTION: PS4 will outsell XBOX ONE+Wii U by end of year!

I think it'll be right on the edge. If WiiU gets to 9.5m and Xbone reaches 8.5m I could see PS4 getting 18m




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It would be a disaster for X1 And Wii U if that's the case.

But early in 2015, yeah, it's obvious



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

Nintentacle said:
I doubt it.


Me too.



It's not that successful yet but i see it happening by the end of 2015

My predictions by end of 2014

Wii U ~ 8.5 to 9 million

Xbox One ~ 8 to 9 million

Playstation 4 ~ 16 to 17 million 



Xbox One, PS4 and Switch (+ Many Retro Consoles)

'When the people are being beaten with a stick, they are not much happier if it is called the people's stick'- Mikhail Bakunin

Prediction: Switch will sell better than Wii U Lifetime Sales by Jan 1st 2018

Meanwhile, 3DS > PS4 + XB1 + Wii U + Vita



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Blouge said:
Meanwhile, 3DS > PS4 + XB1 + Wii U + Vita

Meanwhile the 3DS launch in February 2011... might as well say:

PS3> 3DS + PS4 + X1 + Wii U + Vita



wary-wallaroo said:

It'll happen by the end of this year I think. X1: 7.5 million, Wii U:8.5 million, PS4: 16-18 million

You predict 8.5 million Wii U???

Hem, Wii U sell 60,000 in one normal week (For NPD is overestimate only for 2,500), so, in 20 other week of year, 60,000 x 20 = 1,200,000

6,900,000+1,200,000= 8,100,000 ?

You think that the boost of holiday will be only 400K?

I rememer you that Wii U have sold little less that 400K only the week before Chrismas 2013.



Not by the end of the year, no. I realize that the PS4 has been under-tracked here and that it will surpass my previous prediction of 15m by January 1st 2015, but I stand by my statement that it won't be at 18m+ by that time.



hehe No -_- The Wii U has SMASH BROS... FUCKING SMASH BROS... thats the only reason why that wont happen



Aielyn said:
I doubt it. In order for it to achieve that result, it has to outsell XBO+WiiU weekly enough to push it over the limit. And with the exception of weeks where a significant game releases, it hasn't been doing so.

The most recent week of data has PS4 easily selling better... but that's because TLOU:R released. In the week before that, PS4 sold roughly as much as XBO+WiiU, with none of the systems getting a notable game. Same the week before that, and the week before that, and the week before that, and the week before that (and in that week, PS4 had a new game release in 11th on the chart), and the week before that (PS4 had a position-1 title that week), and the week before that. Indeed, with the exception of the most recent week, the last time PS4 outsold XBO+WiiU was in the week before the XBO price cut.

Now, you can assert that PS4 will have more notable games... but so will both XBO and Wii U. Which means it'll likely come down to how much of a boost each system can get during the holidays... and Nintendo systems typically get stronger boosts from the holidays, and Wii U is getting Smash. As such, it will be a challenge, in my opinion, for PS4 to manage to outsell the combination of Wii U and XBO for the remainder of the year (I'm not saying Wii U will sell exceptionally well, but its improved strength means that PS4 has to outperform XBO by more than it otherwise would have).


Well, actually according to VGC PS4 selling more than double Xbone+WiiU in 2014 worldwide, just check 2014 to date PS4 does over 58%.