When did I say that it was likely overtracked by 500k+? I meant that it likely has 10 weeks of stock on shelves, which would be 500k+ or about 300-350k overtracked.
How is that factually impossible? You're looking at sales ratios from VGC, how does that in any way help you when we're talking about VGC itself overtracking?
We already have the official NPD LTD from a leak last month which showed wiiU was overtracked by 75-100k. Then we have the official Japanese sales data every week from famitsu/mediacreate. And then for "others", well we can only look at Nintendo's own shipment numbers and see that it's impossible that it's overtracked by over 400k overthere. And I'm too lazy to go through this thread again, but when you were taking to someone, you said that 300k was a "conservative" number and that it was likely overtracked by 500k+. I'm telling you once again that it's factually impossible that it's overtracked by that much.
And I'm NOT using vgc data. I'm using Nintendo shipments/NPD/Mediacreate/famitsu.
Predictions for LT console sales: