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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of the year?

 

Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of 2014?

Yes 504 59.64%
 
No 339 40.12%
 
Total:843
Michael-5 on 14 August 2014
TheWPCTraveler said:
Michael-5 said:

Almost Certainly.

Already WiiU is selling 50% better YoY, which should put year end sales at around 4.5 million. This brings up lifetime sales to about 9.7 million. However before Mario Kart 8, WiiU was actually only on par with itself last year. So this 50% growth is more like a 100% growth over the last 2 months. So WiiU is more likely to end up between 5.5 - 7.5 million sales for 2014.

This puts lifetime sales between 10.7-12.7 million by December 31st, it really depends on how smart Nintendo bundles the WiiU (A Mario Kart 8, Smash Bros, or Wii Sports Club bundle would do wonders).

I'll be honest with you, I don't see any Wii U bundles in regions other than Japan, unless they get their collective heads out of the sand.

Besides, if they bundle Smash, it most likely wouldn't be a good deal if they don't offer a free game with it.

I think WiiU can break 10 million without a bundle, but a bundle couple add 1-2 million more. Either way I half agree with you, after learning that the Mario Kart 8 bundle was limited....I lost all faith in the WiiU.



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eva01beserk on 15 August 2014
Seece said:
Well, WiiU certainly isn't doing 60k+ a week like VGC has been showing, NPD is out.

Your quick to bash nintendo. But now that npd figurs are out X1 also which are also very low compared to last month and worst since x1's strongest market is the US wich sells around 50% of the total( a lot less actually), then they are doing less than 50k for sure on july.



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

eva01beserk on 15 August 2014
eva01beserk said:
Seece said:
Well, WiiU certainly isn't doing 60k+ a week like VGC has been showing, NPD is out.

Your quick to bash nintendo. But now that npd figurs are out X1 also which are also very low compared to last month and worst since x1's strongest market is the US wich sells around 50% of the total( a lot less actually), then they are doing less than 50k for sure on july.

Wrong thread to post this. Sorry.

Its just that I'm arguing with Seece on a few other threads and get congused.

But please read and apply this to the other threads, I dont want to look for thouse coments of yours.



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

PigPen on 15 August 2014

Nintendo is going to rain the rest of the year out once Smash Bros and Bayonetta 2 hit. Who cares I know, but I have both preordered and paid for (ha ha). I going to be blunt and honest and it's my opinion, so of course it's not a fact. The Xbox One have no chance, no chance.



WagnerPaiva on 15 August 2014

three million to go, it is possible, 9 million for sure.



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eva01beserk on 15 August 2014
PigPen said:
Nintendo is going to rain the rest of the year out once Smash Bros and Bayonetta 2 hit. Who cares I know, but I have both preordered and paid for (ha ha). I going to be blunt and honest and it's my opinion, so of course it's not a fact. The Xbox One have no chance, no chance.

You and me both bro.



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

Aura_Warrior on 15 August 2014
TheWPCTraveler said:
Seece said:
Well, WiiU certainly isn't doing 60k+ a week like VGC has been showing, NPD is out.

You've got to give them credit for it, though. Two months without a new release and still going strong at a ~20k/week baseline in America. That means VGChartz has overtracked Wii U by ~30k in July.

I see the baseline falling further in August, to ~15k+, but see it reaching back to these levels in September.

Oh, and here's a curious snippet of info: According to Media Create, sales of Wii U jumped to 13.5k in a pre-Hyrule WarriorsZelda Musou week. Not really a lot, but every bit counts if you're Nintendo.

no, it was 12k.



Aura_Warrior on 16 August 2014
Nexus7 said:

Yeah where SSB released near the end of N64 cycle and was the first in the series. 5.55mil for a new franchise?

Im not saying SSB is a bigger franchise, but they are definitely close. SSB will push more HW than MK8 by a big margin and Its going to be close in sales. MK8 should win by 1-2mil more lifetime, But SSB no doubt will be up in the top 3 most sold WiiU games lifetime

Ok, fair point.  

The Wii version of Smash Bros sold about 12 million units.  That is without a DS version and an install base of 100 million users. 

Smash Bros. U will be lucky to sell half that in total worldwide sales on the Wii U. A console whose lifetime sales likely won't even hit 20 million units. Then you have to account for the fact that a 3DS version will be released months before. I know you think it won't cannibalize Wii U sales and I would have agreed if both versions were  released on the same day. I just think people who only own a 3DS will just pickup the 3DS version and not even bother going for the more expensive Wii U route. 

by the end of the year, it should already be close to your prediction.



tak13 on 16 August 2014
Aura_Warrior said:
TheWPCTraveler said:
Seece said:
Well, WiiU certainly isn't doing 60k+ a week like VGC has been showing, NPD is out.

You've got to give them credit for it, though. Two months without a new release and still going strong at a ~20k/week baseline in America. That means VGChartz has overtracked Wii U by ~30k in July.

I see the baseline falling further in August, to ~15k+, but see it reaching back to these levels in September.

Oh, and here's a curious snippet of info: According to Media Create, sales of Wii U jumped to 13.5k in a pre-Hyrule WarriorsZelda Musou week. Not really a lot, but every bit counts if you're Nintendo.

no, it was 12k.


you're  doubting  mediacreate?13.5k..........!



Seece on 16 August 2014
eva01beserk said:
Seece said:
Well, WiiU certainly isn't doing 60k+ a week like VGC has been showing, NPD is out.

Your quick to bash nintendo. But now that npd figurs are out X1 also which are also very low compared to last month and worst since x1's strongest market is the US wich sells around 50% of the total( a lot less actually), then they are doing less than 50k for sure on july.

Actually in the NPD thread on GAF they showed that XB1 is having more stable sales in Europe than in US, Germany for instance is something like 69% LTD of 2013 whilst US is only %50? I don't know the exact figures, just that we're likely undertracking in Europe/elsewhere.