Forums - Sales Discussion - Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of the year?

Will Wii U hit 10 million by the end of 2014?

Yes
No

 Here's my prediction. Post yours in the comments.

Wii U had a tough first half of 2014. Selling nearly as bad as 2013. Mario Kart 8 had come and has boosted Wii U sales for 2 months now and has had a steady baseline for awhile of 60k. If this keeps up it should hit 7 million in about a month. Which is going to be the very beggining of September. When will it hit 8 million?  By September Wii U baseline should drop just slightly to 50k-55k. Probably will sell 250k because of Hyrule Warriors at the end of the month. Puts Wii U at about 7.3m... Now lets go to October.... Probably will have a very small boost to baseline.. selling about 65k to maybe 70k. So lets say 67.5k. Now with Bayonetta 2 at the end of the month.. it will give it a small boost. Wii U will probably sell just short of 300k in October. This puts Wii U at 7.6m... Now November.. it has 5 weeks.... Smash Bros will probably release in mid-late november. Along with Sonic Boom and Captain Toad Treasure Tracker. November I think will top 1,000,000 because of this. Maybe even a bit over. and Black Friday and getting close to holidays. Wii U will have sold 8.7m... December.. the largest month in terms of sales. Probably will be 2,000,000. Putting Wii U at 10.7m sold..... There's not a doubt in my mind it can't hit this. It did nearly 1.76m in Dec 2012 and 1.14m in Dec 2013.

 

EDIT: I forgot about Amiibo.



bet with toastboy: I win if Wii U is still in 2nd place by the end of the year. He wins if Xbox One is in 2nd place by the end of the year.

 

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is a safe bet

I would say that 9million is a certain - though for 10? Random guess : 93% chance - depending on the effect of Amiibo's and how much Hyrule Warriors sells.

 

Edit: Actually seeing your brakedown with those quite low boosts Sept/Oct (and not exactaly mentioning JPN releases this month and B1/2 a month earlier), I really think this is my prediction:

 

 

10.4 Million!!!! =D For comparsion, I think PS4: 15.8m and X1: 8.0m



I'm a nice person. ~ Predicted correctly how 3DS will sell 260K N3DS Launch Week in Japan!
                      
I would not bet against that. I hope for more. 11 million would be nice.

spurgeonryan said:
I would not bet against that. I hope for more. 11 million would be nice.



11 million is possible. My prediction is 10.7 million. Selling an extra 300k isn't impossible,



bet with toastboy: I win if Wii U is still in 2nd place by the end of the year. He wins if Xbox One is in 2nd place by the end of the year.

 

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6.7 now right? Push to 7.5-8 by black friday. Hopefully.

With good price deals and plenty of games, can't we hope for close to 1 millon a week from black friday to end of year? 3.5-4 million....

Wishful thinking?

Most probably, though Holiday months will be the major decider, if the console was able to do almost 1.5 millions, with only a game that is a mix of 2D and 3D Mario, it should do waaaaaay better, with Mario Kart, Super Smash Bros, and a new Zelda game, even though a spin off, plus a diversified library, even with the PS4 and Xbox One around, the Wii U should atleast do around 2.3 million.

COMG guide to points: 1 point = Raging. 2 points = Beasting. 3 points = Tearing it up. 4 points = Berzerk. 7 points = Rampage. 12 points = Burst. 15 points = god mode. 20+ points = DIVIDING BY ZERO!!! 40+ points = Youkai (originally Pokemon).

-1 = Negabeasting. -5= NegaRampage. -10 = NegaBurst

possibly but I wouldn't bet on it.

If everything goes right for Ninty, then yes:  Amiibos being a big hit; $299 Smash bundle; big Hyrule Warriors reception in Japan; top-tier advertising.




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I do think so with Smash and the other titles... Its a much better lineup than last year and mario kart 8 is still a reason to buy the system.