"Whaaaaa?"

As my debut prediction attempt on this site, to celebrate my fiftieth post, I have decided to make a risky prediction that may very well end up being wrong. The gist of it is that the Xbox One will outsell the PS4 in the U.S. for the month of August, as defined by the NPD results released for said month. However, the reasoning behind this is not that I believe the Xbox One will see a sales boost; I don't even think they will, strictly speaking, gain more interested customers than the PS4 in August.

No, my prediction is that the Destiny bundle pre-orders for the PS4 will be so successful, they will draw a large number of people away from buying the console outright in August, and instead result in them pre-ordering. Because the NPD, to my knowledge, does not count pre-orders as sales, (not until the pre-order is fulfilled,) anyone who has pre-ordered the Destiny bundle in August will not have their console sale counted until September. Basically, think of what happened to the Xbox One in May, due to anticipation of the Kinectless SKU.

Now, I do consider this a bit of a stretch; the Destiny bundle HAS been out, and hasn't kept the PS4 from outselling the Xbox One anyway. (Which makes me wonder exactly what the bundle pre-order figures have been each week, and how it will all come togeter in September,) So for this prediction to come true, three conditions must be satisfied;

1) The PS4 must continue to draw customer interest in August at its current level, or even a lower level. Basically, no big consumer interest boost in August.
2) The Xbox One's on-the-spot sales must not tank by August. Self-explanatory, we will see by July's NPD if they managed to raise their baseline, or if they're back to their middling numbers. If the latter, or even if a popular Xbox One pre-order bundle is released, then this prediction is more than likely dead in the water.
3) The percentage of customers who choose to pre-order the Destiny Bundle in August, as opposed to buying the base console immediately, must INCREASE.

If all three conditions above are satisfied, then I believe that the PS4's success in pushing the Destiny bundle will split their sales sufficiently that the Xbox One, which to my knowledge is not hampered by such a bundle, will take the NPD 'Win,' even if less customers were technically investing money in purchasing one. Frankly, I'm not super confident THAT all three of these conditions will be satisfied, but meh, yolo! xP

I select August as the month because, the closer we get to the Destiny release, the more likely we are to see a spike in Destiny bundle pre-orders, as hype spreads and sets in. So if it's going to happen, it will happen closest to release.

Yes, yes, lotta ifs... the daring of it all... >_>

So, what do you guys think? What are the odds that Sony's success in one field of console sales leads to their quasi-sort-of-downfall in another, ending their winning streak?

(And please keep in mind, this is all meant in good fun, and in the spirit of speculation.)

TL;DR: Xbox One will outsell PS4, in the U.S., in August, as defined by the NPD.

To be honest I think plenty of people like the black and people wanting White have been not buying PS4's since the bundle was announced and hasent effected PS4 outselling. I think its more likely that a whole bunch more PS4s will be sold compared to June/July/August

PS4 will win IMO, third party games always sell better on it so it will get more of a boost in sales then the XB1. People thought it could win June NPD because of price drop but even with the 399$ XB1, PS4 still won

It is a possibility, but I doubt it. Let's just hope that if it does outsell the ps4 x1 fans don't go crazy and over the top with ridiculous threads and predictions.

Smash Bundle will also help Oyia to outsell Vita

In regards to PS4 pre-order's taking away from overall numbers I suspect that PS4 can win anyway regardless of whether or not those bundles make a difference .

It would be no different than  PS3 eventualy catching theWii or WiiU post Mario kart performance threads except with even less evidence.

Pretty sure quoting everyone at once might get me poked at by a mod, so Imma just issue a blanket statement and say, yeah, even making the prediction I know it's a long shot. x3 Part of the reason I'm making it is there's kind of a humorous element to the idea that Sony might get so successful in one field of drawing consumer interest, it gives Microsoft an unintentonal leg up in the public eye.

And yeah, nooo doubt that if the X1 does win, the 'Victoryyy' proclamations will be coming in full swing from certain elements in the fanbase. Heck, Microsoft will shout the win from every rooftop they can find; their relatively quiet approach to hardware numbers has everything to do with the fact that they aren't winning, so pretty sure they, like any company, will leap at the chance to say 'We're number one.'

...especially since all the pent-up pre-order bundles being released in September will make Microsoft winning that month pretty bloody unlikely. o.o

Nah. I don't think everyone will go for the bundle. There might even be a couple of people who are smart enough to get a PS4 beforehand to get accustomed to the system and prepare it so they are actually able to play as fast as possible when Destiny actually comes out.

Nothing needs to be said anymore after this