Yakuzaice said:
So, how exactly do you expect the Wii U to reach 50-60m? It has been out for 87 weeks averaging ~77k per week from VGC data. At that rate it would take nearly 700 weeks or over 13 years to reach the top end of your prediction. Even if it was averaging 250k per week (which you don't expect any consoles to do) it would take more than 4 additional years. Considering the Wii U won't be averaging anywhere close to 250k per week any time soon, that date will get pushed further into the future.
Also, 250k average per week isn't really that far from reality for the PS4. Right now it is at ~243k per week since launch. That number will continue dropping over the summer, but will pick back up during the holidays. One week at 1m around Christmas will bring 5 100k summer weeks up to a 250k average across the 6 weeks.
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How do expect the Wii U to reach 50-60m? I'd say as you said, there are holidays which will raise the sales. There are also games which will raise the sales so it won't be very hard to get to 50-60m if you consider those i assume.
Will it average 77k(which is actually 65k) per week? I repeat what i just said, i don't think it will stay at that rate AND i don't think the Ps4 will stay at that rate. When i made that comment i specifically said "At this rate" which was 100k. I know it can change but i was specifically speaking about how much it's going to take with that rate.
Ps4 selling 243k per week? No actually it's selling at 110k per week which is half of what you just said. No, the Ps4 will have a baseline of 250k after christmas because it doesn't have the games that will allow it to do so...
Yakuzaice said:
What system was "almost always at 500k+ until several months before the launch of the 8th gen"?
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Ok tbh 500k+ was an exaggeration, but it sure as hell rarely dropped below 200k weekly and was selling at 300~400k weekly. Oh and i was talking about the Wii.
Metallox said:
There are season where the numbers are much higher, so the 100 million prediction for PS4 is realistic.
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Before i speak about the Ps4 reaching that "realistic 100 mil", i'll give an example of a console that did reach that number. The Wii did rarely dropped below 200k weekly, did an average of 300-400k, and sometimes did 800k-1 million WEEKLY! Now for the Ps4 to do that it must start getting 300-400k during this year or the year after which is IMO not really easy.