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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Do You Still Think Wii U Can Do 25 million??

padib said:
RepedeGoesWoof said:
padib said:
RepedeGoesWoof said:

He's commenting on how PS4/XONE will have a large selection of other titles coming out. Both sides seem to have really weak exclusive IPs (LBP3/Driveclub for PS4...Sunset/Forza/Halo for XONE), but has a large lineup outside of their own even though the games are fairly conservative (filled with sequels and only a few original IPs like Evolve, Destiny, and The Evil Within).

There's no doubt in mind that the games he listed will at least sell respectively well (LBP3 and Evolve) to very, very well (Destiny). As strong as Nintendo's software lineup is, they can't push hardware alone. Do their games push a lot of hardware? Yeah, of course. Enough to justify a console to be a financial success? Nope. I still believe 2014 will be Nintendo's biggest year with Smash and MK8. 2015 will be interesting however. Lots of quality titles coming out, albiet less popular franchises.

The Wii, DS, 3DS, GB and GBA all disagree though.

For any other manufacturer you're right, but for Nintendo, their games are their bread and butter, it's true for all their consoles, the more popular and the less popular ones. 3rd party games haven't made Nintendo's success since the SNES.

The main pitfall with most posters is that logic that works for Sony and MS is employed for Nintendo but it always leads to discordance with the final numbers.

They do push hardware. When did I state otherwise?  Considering the Wii U is in direct competition with the PS4/X1, I think it's clear to see from the numbers that Nintendo games, despite their quality, aren't going to push units on the level of X1/PS4 numbers without additional support. Same could be said about the N64 and Gamecube. Nintendo struck gold when they introduced motion controls, but sales really simmered down after the initial hype, and as evidenced by the Wii U numbers, many of those who bought a Wii abandoned the brand completely. Unless Nintendo can find another fad to latch onto, the cycle will repeat. I also agree with with you on the GBA, GB, and 3DS, but again we're talking about their consoles here. No doubt that Nintendo games sell like hotcakes on their portable offerings.

I would say Nintendo should give more attention to third parties, but in reality, we have no idea how that plan would pan out. Nintendo games are too good to justify buying anything else, leading to third parties dropping support completely.

I agree with you. I was trying to say they not only push hardware, but they also justify a console's financial success if executed properly, in essence challenging what I bolded. The consoles listed are good examples of that.

As for how your plan for 3rd parties would pan out, I think the best way to look at a recipe for success for Nintendo is to look at their portables. If you look at 3rd party support on those consoles, it gives you an idea of how 3rd party support, when executed properly on a Nintendo console, can work.

Examples of series that work/worked well on Nintendo consoles:

  • Monster Hunter
  • Final Fantasy (portable versions)
  • Kingdom Hearts
  • Yokai Watch
  • Dragon Quest / DQ Monsters
  • Sonic
  • Harvest Moon
  • LEGO Star Wars
  • Cooking Mama
  • The Sims
  • Imagine (Petz, Babiez, ...)
  • Just Dance
  • Guitar Hero
  • Michael Jackson: The Experience
  • Zumba Fitness
  • Sports collections (Carnival Games, Deca Sports, EA Sports Active)
The common element in all these games seems to be simulation or Role Playing. Some form of profile progress essentially.

the portable vision is an interesting take on it, but Japanese developers have to willingly develop for the Wii U. They seem rather content with churning out software for the 3DS/Android/iOS at the moment. Not much left in terms of console development. The market is there for the 3DS, but not for the Wii U. Gamecube had some good support early on, but that left really quickly. Same for the Wii. 



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I think the WiiU will break the 50mil in its lifetime.



To everyone saying that Wii U will break Gamecube AND N64 numbers, why? It is still behind both (even Dreamcast), and is probably in it's peak year. Nintendo consoles have recently been on a 5-6 life span, so it won't sell long, and the final 2-3 years will have lower sales than the peak year. Unless Sony and MS dropship from games, Wii U's sales will still be low.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

ExplodingBlock said:
Dunban67 said:
ExplodingBlock said:
Not like XBO is any better,
It got Titanfall and only does 60k a week
And the gap increasing between Wii U and Xbox One
http://www.vgchartz.com/article/251701/xbox-one-vs-wii-uvgchartz-gap-chartsjune-2014-update/


Hasn't t the Xbox 1 sold over 300,000 more units than the Wii u year to date?   That would be a decreasing gap not increasing 


........

No

If you actually read the link it says the gap increased by 30k in June

Wii U is also 1,700,000 units ahead of the Xbox One

This is literally a site for traking sales and you don't know that?

VgChartz  says xbox 1 has sold aprox 300,000 more than the Wii u in 2014 again that represents a decreasing gap that includes the 30k sales lead the Wii u had in June

yes  that is why I included sales data in my post-   Do you think only positive Wii u sales data counts?   I m pulling for the Wii u as that is the console I own but I can also acknowledge reality 



drake_tolu said:

Yes.

Wii U will sell 40 million.

"Have sold less of GameCube"

Like XBOX 360 and PS3.

 

"Smash Bros coming also on 3DS"

Like Destiny will coming on 360, PS3, PS4, and maybe PC and Wii U.

360 and PS3 have sold way more than the Gamecube.......

Destiny will sell more on PS4 and X1 and push more 8th gen consoles. Don't hold your breath for a Wii U version of Destiny.



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Will the console reach 25 million sold units? Sure, I believe so. But it will not surpass 30 million units in its lifetime.



Gamecube was one of the best console Nintendo made, but it was launched in the middle of the completely shifting video game market and even before there was a casual market.

The Wii U comes in a period where video games are way more popular, so it'll probably sell At Least 25 millions



NobleTeam360 said:
drake_tolu said:

360 and PS3 have sold way more than the Gamecube.......

Destiny will sell more on PS4 and X1 and push more 8th gen consoles. Don't hold your breath for a Wii U version of Destiny.

GameCube 31 Mar 2002: 3,8 million

XBOX 360 31 Mar 2006: 2,42 million

PS3 31 Mar 2007: 2,85 million

...

3,8>2,85>2,42

GC>PS3>X360



TheJimbo1234 said:
toastboy44562 said:

GameCube only managed around 21 million if I am not mistaken.

It's still tracking a couple million below gamecube (even below dreamcast).

It is more underpowered and has less third party support than the GameCube had during its lifespan.

Its biggest game came out and it can only manage to do 60k in a week.

Almost all of its high selling franchises are already on the platform (just missing Smash Bros)

Smash Bros is also on 3DS.

Japan is a smaller market now than ever before.

The New Zelda is cartoon which most zelda fans dislike.

Will probably have a shorter lifespan than the GameCube due to it not being as powerful as the competition and being much cheaper.

Online lags far behind than the competition.

Nintendo so expect essentially zero advertising.

Wii U is being discontinued in some major retailers in the US just like Vita

I see no way the Wii U can outsell gamecube. If anything the Wii U will hit 17 million. What do you think?

It will struggle to hit 10 million. I doubt it will even reach 12m before a replacement is brought out (if Nintendo continue with large hardware).



You are insane. Literally clinically insane. Or a big Nintendo fan who's trolling hard. It's funny though.



drake_tolu said:

GameCube 31 Mar 2002: 3,8 million

XBOX 360 31 Mar 2006: 2,42 million

PS3 31 Mar 2007: 2,85 million

...

3,8>2,85>2,42

GC>PS3>X360

Oh, you should've specified that in your original post then