Wii U lifetime sales will be less than 15 million

Wii U will have better legs than GameCube and most likely a longer life because of the better legs. GameCube peaked in 2003 and then dropped a little in 2004... then dropped off a cliff in 2005-2007. which was its 2nd full year. Wii U will probably peak in 2015. I think Wii U is just finding its footing. It will probably already hit 10m+ by the end of the year. So if you're saying the Wii U will only sell 7m from 2016-2019 that's unlikely. Not impossible but unlikely.  You could be right... but I just don't see Wii U being at only 17m by 2018/2019

Not trying to be mean OP but your threads are getting less and less intelligible.

22 mio. life time seems like a safe bet imo. Gonna go with that.

I will say it: i think i predicted something around 15m.

I predicted it after Nintendo announced their numbers for the fiscal year, and looking at how it's currently selling it could still end up at 15 million.

Problem is that this based on the fact that it's still tracking behind the Gamecube, but the price point difference is huge(Gamecube was $99 at this point in the US) and so is the distribution of game releases.

It will all depend on how long it stays on the market.

 Literally it all falls on SSB4. If that pulls another MK8 and finds itself being the lowest selling title in it's series while barely pushing hardware sales, then it's pretty much done for Wii-U. Sure there's Zelda, but I feel like the artstyle alone has already doomed it to be one of worst selling Zelda titles. I still think the Wii-U has a chance to push GC numbers, but 35 million? Very very very unlikely at this point. With the release of Zelda, Nintendo will have played pretty much all of their cards. Unless they can magically garner more third party support than Sony/ MS, then there will be almost nothing going for the console. It will see a drastic drop in it's sales within the next few years like the Wii, and Nintendo will have to start looking into new hardware.

Wii U will be replaced way before 2018/2019.

SSB4 releases on 3DS first, so i wouldn't expect any miracles from that either...

Is OP mistaking peoples 25M prediction for 15M?

Cause I don't think I have seen anyone seriously say that the WiiU will sell only 15M in its lifetime.

Anyway, my prediction is still 25-35M.

I said 35mill at least...MK8 POWER!