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Forums - Sales Discussion - Holiday Sales Predictions!

Well August is almost here and holiday start picking up in a month or two. Xbox One will be releasing in 3 times as many countries so people in those countries will be able to buy games and use online. The holiday is going to be absolutely packed will multimillion selling games.

By years end:

Xbox One will hit 11-13 million

PS3 will hit 16-17 million

Wii U will hit 9 million

80% of US sales are from black friday-christmas



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Ka-pi96 said:
Don't know about specific numbers but I think...

PS4 > Xbox One > 3DS > Vita > Wii U


You think Vita will sell more than Wii U?



If you're interested in Nintendo content and understand german, maybe you want to take a look at my youtube channel! :)

https://www.youtube.com/user/RealGamingExpert

toastboy44562 said:

Well August is almost here and holiday start picking up in a month or two. Xbox One will be releasing in 3 times as many countries so people in those countries will be able to buy games and use online. The holiday is going to be absolutely packed will multimillion selling games.

By years end:

Xbox One will hit 11-13 million

PS3 PS4 will hit 16-17 million

Wii U will hit 9 million

80% of US sales are from black friday-christmas

 

Fixed.



Didn't PS3 hit 17-18 million several years ago? lol jk I know you mean PS4.



So you think the X1 will sell 6.2-8.2 million units for the rest of the year? The PS4 7.6-8.6 million and the Wii U 2.4 million.

What makes you believe that the PS4 will only sell 12.5% better than the X1 (when averaging your predictions) when right now it has sold, according to vgchartz at least, 127% better than the X1 in 2014?



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ps4 16M
Wii U 10M
xb1 9M



Ka-pi96 said:
RealGamingExpert said:
Ka-pi96 said:
Don't know about specific numbers but I think...

PS4 > Xbox One > 3DS > Vita > Wii U


You think Vita will sell more than Wii U?

Of course. That's how it's been so far hasn't it?

Huh? Not during the Hoidays last year, so i dont see why it would outsell the Wii U this year with much stronger releases for the Wii U.



If you're interested in Nintendo content and understand german, maybe you want to take a look at my youtube channel! :)

https://www.youtube.com/user/RealGamingExpert

PS4 16m

XB1 8.5m

WiiU 9.5m



So you think that XOne and PS4 will basically sell about equally from now on?
I don't think so. PS4 will remain at least 1.7:1 worldwide.
So, if by some miracle XOne sells 6-8M consoles (which is not probable, I say 5M max if all stars align), PS4 should sell 10-13M more (and end up at 19-22M) and I don't buy that either

My prediction is that XOne will end the year at 9M, and PS4 at 17M.



Ka-pi96 said:
RealGamingExpert said:
Ka-pi96 said:

Of course. That's how it's been so far hasn't it?

Huh? Not during the Hoidays last year, so i dont see why it would outsell the Wii U this year with much stronger releases for the Wii U.


I suppose. You make a compelling argument, changing my prediction


You both are forgetting the only massive selling game the Wii U has is smash bros this holiday. Call of duty, the master chief collection, and destiny will each outsell it on xbox one. not to mention xbox one has things like assassins creed unity, sunset overdrive, a price cut, releases in more regions, dance evolution, etc