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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Why I don't think the PS4 will pass 100m

PS4 doing 120 million is almost guaranteed...



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This
My predictions are (lifetime, and may seem optimistic)
3DS-100m
PS4-80m
WiiU-55m
XB1-50m
Vita-20m



XBOX ONE/Wii U/3DS/PC

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Thanks for all the great memories!

I agree it won't make it to 100M,94M this will be a short gen 6 years I think 2018



Damagon said:
Yes, but it won't happen until way after the PS5 is out.

Without Japan 100M is almost an unreachable goal.

 The PS2 still sold 130M + if you don't include the JP sales. PS4 hasn't lost Japan. Japanese gamers simply don't have any reason to buy one just yet with loads of JRPGs still releasing on PS2. Once the heavy hitting JRPGs start coming only on PS4, Japanese gamers will hop on board.

OT - I can see the PS4 shooting past 100M. It just needs big AAA exclusives combined with strong third party support like the PS2 had. PS4 is doing far better than the PS3 was at this point in it's life because it took forever for most of it's big AAA exclusives to release, and MS used easy-to-develop-for hardware and an earlier release to garner better third party support last gen. PS4, so far, has neither of those issues. SWS just take a while to start releasing, but once they do, they pour in. PS3 was doing 150K a week at it's peak. PS4 is far from it's peak. Lets not forget it's managing to maintain a 100K + per week, despite having few AAA exclusives already released or releasing in the near future. The system will start it's real snowball when more JRPGs and the Destiny Bundle release. Not to mention, the likes of Bloodborne and Uncharted 4 are guarenteed system sellers.





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DarkRPGamer007 said:
This
My predictions are (lifetime, and may seem optimistic)
3DS-100m
PS4-80m
WiiU-55m
XB1-50m
Vita-20m


Yeah, no. Wii u won't sell as much as Xbox bone much less more. I I really hope wiiu can pull off at least 40 million though. I think ps4 will be 95 mill Xbox one about 70 and wii u about 40



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

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DialgaMarine said:
Damagon said:
Yes, but it won't happen until way after the PS5 is out.

Without Japan 100M is almost an unreachable goal.

 The PS2 still sold 130M + if you don't include the JP sales. PS4 hasn't lost Japan. Japanese gamers simply don't have any reason to buy one just yet with loads of JRPGs still releasing on PS2. Once the heavy hitting JRPGs start coming only on PS4, Japanese gamers will hop on board.

OT - I can see the PS4 shooting past 100M. It just needs big AAA exclusives combined with strong third party support like the PS2 had. PS4 is doing far better than the PS3 was at this point in it's life because it took forever for most of it's big AAA exclusives to release, and MS used easy-to-develop-for hardware and an earlier release to garner better third party support last gen. PS4, so far, has neither of those issues. SWS just take a while to start releasing, but once they do, they pour in. PS3 was doing 150K a week at it's peak. PS4 is far from it's peak. Lets not forget it's managing to maintain a 100K + per week, despite having few AAA exclusives already released or releasing in the near future. The system will start it's real snowball when more JRPGs and the Destiny Bundle release. Not to mention, the likes of Bloodborne and Uncharted 4 are guarenteed system sellers.




Ps4 hasn't been able to do a steady 100k for like a month. but I agree it's far from its peak. I I think people are betting way to much on blood borne. Honestly destiny seems like a bigger seller for ps4



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

Serious_frusting said:
I have look at the dates you people have joined this site. I have been around VGC since 2006/2007.

You have not been around long enough to see the sales trends of consoles. To look at the PS4's sales so far and say it wont pass 100 million is very interesting. No console that has sold at this trajectory this early in its life has failed to to pass 100 million units.
Also the PS4 still has many games yet to release and many price cuts to go through. The PS4 is still outpacing the PS2 in the same time frame at a higher price.

Just think about that.


we got to form a VGC oldtimers sales forum sometimes i feel like the outsider when discussing sales on here well at least it makes for some easy owning down the line



                                                             

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ExplodingBlock said:

Recently with alot of peoples predictions, they said they think will think PS4 will sell over 100 million units

While I admit, the PS4 is doing great but if you look at the sales of the PS3 it was selling 150k every week and that didn't even do 90m, plus it was on the market for 7+ years

The only way I think it can pass 100m is if it is on the market for 9+ years and continues to sell after the PS5 comes out

Yea, it was doing 150k....the last 3 years before the successor released. It was doing noticeably less than that before and still ended up with 80M+. Now the PS4, with it's 100K+ week in/week out sales at launch price......

Imagine what's gonna happen when it drops price and has a larger library. PS3 only recently got a $200 model, and it's barebones. A new PS3 (with actual features) is still $270. Before PS4/XBone launched, it was doing those kinds of numbers at $270. What would the more popular PS4 do at $300? 



KLXVER said:
I think the PS4 has sold alot of units because of pure hype and promises. If Sony can keep up with those things, then I can see it hitting 100M easily.

Lol, if that helps you sleep at night.

@ OP

Since the PS1 era, every market leader has made it to 100M+, why would the PS4 be any different?  Because the gap between it and the other consoles would be too much for you to handle? 



thismeintiel said:
KLXVER said:
I think the PS4 has sold alot of units because of pure hype and promises. If Sony can keep up with those things, then I can see it hitting 100M easily.

Lol, if that helps you sleep at night.


I hope so. Sleeping pills are scary...