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Forums - Sales Discussion - PREDICTION: Xbox1 will not win NPD when Halo 5 is released.

bevochan on 18 July 2014

After Destiny is released and thru the holidays, I think PS4 will have about a 2-to-1 advantage for NPD hardware sales.  Also, with imminent releases of various 3rd party games that are superior on the PS4, the momentum of the PS4 hardware sales advantage will be carried for a long time.

I'm assuming Halo 5 will be release for holiday 2015 (Oct/Nov).  If Uncharted 4 is released within a month from Halo 5, Xbox1 definitely will not win NPD.  Even without Uncharted 4, I think it'll be close, but holiday releases are crowded with too many games and Halo 5 won't be enough to win NPD.  

 




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OfficerRaichu15 on 18 July 2014

i can see that happening i mean uncharted 4 plus ps4's rampaging sales are none to be optimistic about(in terms of outselling it)



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Aura7541 on 18 July 2014

I say it's possible, but only if Uncharted 4 is released in close vicinity of Halo 5.



drake_tolu on 18 July 2014

For me no.
Halo 5 will coming on September, and i predict 200K in USA for XBOX ONE this week.

In month of Sep depend, but i'm sure more of 400K, maybe 500K.



platformmaster918 on 18 July 2014

I don't agree with 2 to 1 but I do agree with PS4 outselling it even in the US that month. It'll most likely be November and Halo won't be enough to swing the holiday month in Xbox's favor with the usual gazillion games releasing around then




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Jizz_Beard_thePirate on 18 July 2014

Depends on when other games are released



                  

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Soonerman on 18 July 2014

Very doubtful.



Puppyroach on 18 July 2014

They are so close to each other right now that I thinkthey will continue to battle it out during the years ahead in the US. When Halo 5 is released, X1 will trump PS4 sales, but it can swing the othe waythe month after.



Captain_Tom on 18 July 2014
bevochan said:

After Destiny is released and thru the holidays, I think PS4 will have about a 2-to-1 advantage for NPD hardware sales.  Also, with imminent releases of various 3rd party games that are superior on the PS4, the momentum of the PS4 hardware sales advantage will be carried for a long time.

I'm assuming Halo 5 will be release for holiday 2015 (Oct/Nov).  If Uncharted 4 is released within a month from Halo 5, Xbox1 definitely will not win NPD.  Even without Uncharted 4, I think it'll be close, but holiday releases are crowded with too many games and Halo 5 won't be enough to win NPD.  

 


This is a fair prediction.  However I am not a gambling man so it is still too far away for me to say for sure.  If MS gets desperate enough, and I believe the likely will be; they could release Halo 5 bundled with a $300 Xbox One.  

Now I think UC4 will still allow the PS4 to win, but it will probably be close.  Then again TLOU is well on its way to outselling most if not all the Halo's, so don't underestimate the momentum of hype ND has at this point...



kitler53 on 18 July 2014

shit man,.. halo 5 is over a year away. i'm not committing to anything that far down the road. for all we know xbox could be $99 by then.