TheBlackNaruto said:
Cyrus said: My guess: PS4: 50 Vita: 15 WiiU: 55 3DS: 70 My numbers are based on the follwing guesses: PS4: Release hype + good sales for the first 3 years. Then interest could fall rapidly, since it doesn't offer much value compared to a slightly higher priced PC that offers a lot more. Vita: Already at it's peak, so i guess it won't do much more if there's not some very attractive PS4 Vita combination. WiiU: Didn't sell good during the first 1.5 years, now slowly picking up sales numbers. It will not have huge numbers as PS4 during the first 2 years, but will continue to sell on an okish level for a much longer time. 3DS: It's close to reaching its peak, so somewhat like current sales*1.5. |
The 3DS has already peaked IMO anyway. But I can see it hitting around 70 million sold though liftime. The Wii U though has NO CHANCE at all of outselling the PS4. And it is not slowly picking up sales it is kind of flat right now. The Wii U will peak before the PS4 does as well so that gives the PS4 even more time to outsell it. And PS consoles have a longer sales history and better legs than NIN consoles if I am not mistaken.
Also what makes you think the PS4 doesn't offer much value compared to a slightly higer priced PC? Or is that just your opinion? Also what is the Wii U going to do in order to catch back up to the PS4? Like what scenario do you see where the sales pick up that much and hold? I can live with your other numbers but your Wii U/PS4 numbers just seem off.
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Of course this is 'just' my opinion, i can't actually see the future, this thread is about guesses.
The same goes for your statements, like "The Wii U will peak before the PS4 does as well so that gives the PS4 even more time to outsell it."
For my statement about PS4 doesn't offer much beyond a PC: Anything the PS4 can do, a PC can do as well. Only difference are the exclusives, and to my opinion that's not a big value compared to PC which also has games you can't play on PS4. While the WiiU offers more appealing exclusives (to me, this is opinion in case that ain't clear by now) + easily accessible asymmetric gameplay.
The rest i already answered in my original post. Answered in terms of guessed, as this thread is about guessing.
And how are the WiiU sales flat now? They have been flat at around 30k per week for quiet some time. Then a big peak at MK8 release and now around 50k/week. So they have been picking up since MK8 which is just several weeks. So further picking up over the next months/years is -again- a guess. I guess so because i think its a great machine and more releases of popular quality games like SSB, Zelda, X, Bayo2, etc are going to come.
What is your reason to state (not guess), that there is "NO CHANCE" the Wii U could outsell the PS4? Can you see the future?