Numberfox said:
Maybe replace it with "As a Nintendo Fanboy,..." ? |
Let the critical thinking flow through you. Acknowledging the competition is not a bad thing.
Arkhandar said:
|
Hrm, critical thinking-wise I'd say we really can't judge until there is a stable baseline for both systems after post-Mario Kart 8 release and Xbox One price cut with a removed piece of previously essential hardware, and the Nintendo optimist side of me thinks that a Nintendo system seller would increase a baseline more than a "technical" price cut from Microsoft.
Current Consoles: Gaming PC, Wii U, 3DS
Not by much, but a lot of this depends on if there is a price drop to $350 and also whether or not they offer any good bundles.
One of the main reasons I think that the X1 will outstrip the Wii U by the end of the year is thanks to it's 3rd party support. Every time a big 3rd party game comes out, X1 will get a bump in sales (even if not big), and then on top of that, it will get even bigger boost from its exclusive titles like SO, FH2, & Halo MCC.
The Wii U will only get boost for it's 1st party titles comming out (they don't have that much for this year), and also for the holidays.
All in all, I would say it will pass Wii U by between 100k-500k by the end of the year. It won't be by a million though.
| Aielyn said: At this point last year, Wii U was at 3.1 million units. By the end of the year, it was at about 5.4 million units. So it grew by roughly 74%. At the equivalent point in the Xbox 360's life, it was at 3.5 million units. By the end of the year, it was at 8 million units. Growth of roughly 128%. At the equivalent point in the PS3's life, it was at 3.7 million units. By the end of the year, it was at 9.2 million units. Growth of roughly 149%. For Wii, the corresponding numbers were 8.3 million, 19.5 million, and 135%. At this point, Xbox One is at 4.6 million units. For it to reach 11 million, it has to grow by 139% (183% for 13 million). Note that the Wii was massively supply constrained, and PS3 had been out for less than three months in its traditionally-strong region of Europe at the time. So to be honest, I find it unlikely, given news from E3, that Xbox One will achieve such growth. I'd suggest that a reasonable prediction would be something similar to that observed with the 360 - about 128% growth, putting it around 10.5 million. On the other hand, there seems to be a fair bit of new momentum for Wii U due to MK8 and Smash. In 2008, from June to December, Wii saw roughly a boost of 56% in total sales, and that was with huge earlier momentum. If we suppose a boost of 70% for Wii U (thereby accounting for the fact that Wii U didn't have momentum beforehand, whereas Wii did), then Wii U would be somewhere around 10.7 million units. My conclusion? I could see them coming remarkably close to the same numbers. I could also see either one getting ahead of the other, but it all depends on how well the various releases help drive sales. For Wii U, the general lack of momentum is the concern that could see it lag behind the XBO. For XBO, it's the fact that it has high levels of overlap with PS4 in its game lineup, thus potentially seeing PS4 stealing sales that it would otherwise have received. |
Youre forgetting Xbox One will have a price cut. that should make a larger % increase than the 360. Also Xbox One has huge franchises coming to xbox one that were not popular or did not come on xbox 360 in 2006. Minecraft, call of duty, gta5, assassins creed, halo 1, halo 2, halo 3, halo 4, halo 5 beta, Destiny, sunset overdrive, forzas horizons, fable legends beta, more indies than 360, dance evolution, elder scrolls online (i think). Titanfall and watchdogs are still system sellers as well. Xbox One will also be released in 55 more countries. Expect exponentional growth for Xbox One!
I'm honestly not sure if this is worth responding seriously to, but I guess I'll do so anyways and if I'm getting trolled, I'm getting trolled.
2 million's absolutely ridiculous. My guess is that with Smash Bros on the horizon, Wii U will still be in the lead come the end of the year, but if the X-Box One gets a price cut and some other good things, it could take a very slim lead, maybe
maybe 0.5 or 1 m
xbox one 9-10 m
wii u 8.5-9.5 m
A slight lead but not much more than 500k
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