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Forums - Sales Discussion - PREDICTION: WII U WILL SELL MORE THAN XBOX ONE

 

Do you think this will happen?

yes 784 58.77%
 
no 548 41.08%
 
Total:1,332
MoHasanie said:
Impossible.Its sales are terrible.


Wii U 84K

XO 38K



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yeah i highly doubt it. Unless, Nintendo pulls a global hit out of their pocket like another Pokemon Red or Wii fit.



LOL nope. Wii U is tracking FAR behind the Gamecube, which only sold ~22 million units, and Wii U will end up with less than that. Logically, that would mean the Xbox One would also sell less than ~22 million units according to your prediction.

That's impossible, even if you think it's doomed. Even the Original Xbox outsold Gamecube with ~24 million units sold, and that was with 5 years of sales. Microsoft will push the One for longer than that, will have actual 3rd-party support, and has a bigger fan base to sell to compared to when MS were just starting out.

By the end of 2014, Xbox One will pass Wii U and will stay ahead. 2014 will be the peak year of sales for the Wii U with MK and Smash. If Nintendo is lucky, 2015 might even be flat in terms of sales because of Zelda/later Smash sales, but after that, sales will drop like a rock as PS4 and Xbox One hit/start to hit their peaks.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

drake_tolu said:
MoHasanie said:
Impossible.Its sales are terrible.


Wii U 84K

XO 38K

That is the week where the Wii U benefited from Mario Kart 8, and X1 had a price cut coming after a week. So those numbers aren't a true representation of how either are performing. 



    

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Welfare said:
LOL nope. Wii U is tracking FAR behind the Gamecube, which only sold ~22 million units, and Wii U will end up with less than that. Logically, that would mean the Xbox One would also sell less than ~22 million units according to your prediction.

That's impossible, even if you think it's doomed. Even the Original Xbox outsold Gamecube with ~24 million units sold, and that was with 5 years of sales. Microsoft will push the One for longer than that, will have actual 3rd-party support, and has a bigger fan base to sell to compared to when MS were just starting out.

By the end of 2014, Xbox One will pass Wii U and will stay ahead. 2014 will be the peak year of sales for the Wii U with MK and Smash. If Nintendo is lucky, 2015 might even be flat in terms of sales because of Zelda/later Smash sales, but after that, sales will drop like a rock as PS4 and Xbox One hit/start to hit their peaks.


"By the end of 2014, Xbox One will pass Wii U and will stay ahead"

NO.

"Wii U is tracking FAR behind the Gamecube, which only sold ~22 million units, and Wii U will end up with less than that. Logically, that would mean the Xbox One would also sell less than ~22 million units according to your prediction."

GameCube have sold more even of XBOX ONE.

" 2014 will be the peak year of sales for the Wii U with MK and Smash. If Nintendo is lucky, 2015 might even be flat in terms of sales because of Zelda/later Smash sales, but after that, sales will drop like a rock as PS4 and Xbox One hit/start to hit their peaks."

In 2015 Wii U sell more that in 2014, and XBOX ONE will reach peak in 2015, maximum 2016.



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Welfare said:
LOL nope. Wii U is tracking FAR behind the Gamecube, which only sold ~22 million units, and Wii U will end up with less than that. Logically, that would mean the Xbox One would also sell less than ~22 million units according to your prediction.

That's impossible, even if you think it's doomed. Even the Original Xbox outsold Gamecube with ~24 million units sold, and that was with 5 years of sales. Microsoft will push the One for longer than that, will have actual 3rd-party support, and has a bigger fan base to sell to compared to when MS were just starting out.

By the end of 2014, Xbox One will pass Wii U and will stay ahead. 2014 will be the peak year of sales for the Wii U with MK and Smash. If Nintendo is lucky, 2015 might even be flat in terms of sales because of Zelda/later Smash sales, but after that, sales will drop like a rock as PS4 and Xbox One hit/start to hit their peaks.


This isn't Wii U's peak year. It's more likely that Wii U will have a peak year of 2015 and 2016 will be even with 2014. 2015 has more games coming than 2014 so its average sales per week will be higher. 2 big games aren't going to beat a steady stream of more than 5 great games like Zelda, Star Fox, Splatoon, and more. 2014 had a terrible start. It's really from here on out that Wii U will have at least some what decent weekly sales. Don't think it will drop below 50k that much anymore. XB1 dropped to 37k after Watch Dogs. Wii U only dropped to 86k after MK8 which isn't dreadful. If Wii U dropped from 136k to lets say 50k, yes i'd say XB1 has a really good chance. But not anymore. I guess we'll really get a better get a better look at this when we get all of June's numbers... then we can really see if MK8 boosted Wii U. For awhile now, XB1 has shown no signs to catching the Wii U by the end of the year as you say. It's still more than 1.5m behind Wii U. Anyways..... let's come back to this in about a month... then we'll get a better look.



Yeah I don't get why people are so confident about Xbone's sales when Sony has clearly stolen a huge slice of their market share. And now it's selling even worse than Wii U.



I would say it is possible but unlikely. I would at "best" predict they will end up equal.

Wii U had a terrible start, and it has just gotten a little better. X1 had a pretty decent start, and only looks weak compared to PS4.

If the Wii U can maintain a higher sales ratio then yes it could end well, especially since they have this one year lead over X1, if the Wii U didn't have that, then X1 would have already outsold it.

In North America X1 will win over Wii U, easily. X1 will battle with PS4 for first place, and it will be even.

In Europe Wii U could outsell the X1, but I don't think it will be by a big margin, at best a few millions.

In Japan and Asia Wii U will outsell the X1, the X1 will sell next to nothing and Wii U will gather at least a one digit million, two digit at a best case scenario.

So here is a prediction from me.

NA
Wii U: 20-30m
X1: 30-40m

EU
Wii U: 15-20m
X1: 10-15m

Asia
Wii U: 5-10m
X1: 1m

WW
Wii U: 40-60m
X1: 41-56m

Best case scenario for both, as the market looks today. But of course anything(everything) can chance tomorrow or next year. X1 could explode on the market and catch up with PS4. Wii U could implode and go lower than Vita numbers. Anything can happen.

Either way I think the consoles will be neck to neck if it continues like this. Some month of the year X1 will outsell Wii U and some other months Wii U will outsell X1.

I hope I am wrong however and than both could reach 80m. Impossible perhaps but I do hope.



I think the Wii U will continue to lead Xbone for at least a couple of years, but eventually the Xbone will sell more as Microsoft will try to get a 7-8 year lifetime out of the console whereas Nintendo will go for a 5-6 year cycle. When you consider that the Wii U was out almost a full year ahead of PS4/Xbone then we could see Nintendo release a new console with superior specs to the competition 2-3 years before the others are ready. That would make for some interesting times as the graphic whores come to terms with their inferior spec consoles.



Jeez two week and Wii U fanboys already full of themselves

 

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