Many previews and videos of the Alpha are available now, while most of the early technical issues are now corrected the games seems to leave a very meh impression to those who played it, mainly because of

- as am MMO it feels incomplete

- as an FPS it feels unfocused

- repetitive missions

- poor social features

- poor AI

The beta will be accessible on PS4 starting tomorrow.

My prediction is that the beta will leave people disappointed, upfront sales will remain good (2 million across all platforms' first week combined), Xmas sales will be average at best (3.5 million by the end of 2014) and the legs will be the ones suffering the most (4.5-5.5 million by the end of 2015)

For any other new IP this would not be considered a "flop", but this game has huge sunken costs (half a billion dollars) and had probably 10 million+ units in target.

Second prediction : the game will become free to play by 2016

please keep the discussion civil

Star  Wars MMO did that

People say Call of duty suck but it still selling millions and millions

It won't saleswise, for sure. There will be a lot of advertising around this game, pre-orders are already high. It will be something like "brought to by the creators of Halo - a new game arises" or stuff like that
But we will see how long it will keep gamers entertained and how the reviews are going...

The beta is on July 17th for PS4. Damn, you cannot even get that right. I disagree strongly.

at least two modes of Destiny require a subscription

if it flops, it wont reach 10 mio unitl end of 2015

less than 5 mio for the timeframe is impossible

10+ is likely.
15+ is out of reach imho (50 % of gtaV sales on a new ip?)

8-12 mio is me prediction

It will flop as bad as Watch Dogs.

Mediocre gameplay has never stopped a game from selling millions.

Yeah it's a ~800k flop in USA pre orders..... 


That 500k² budget though.....

Prediction: we are going to see people coming to laugh at this prediction 1 week post launch