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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Wii u will have sold 10 million by the end of this year

Max King of the Wild on 11 May 2014
cheshirescat said:


http://www.gamnesia.com/news/iwata-estimate-of-3.6-million-wii-us-to-be-sold-this-year-is-conservative#.U2-KgChfZO8

 

Iwata said is was conservative, not lowball.  At best they likely believe wii u will sell 10% more than that, at least that's what I would take from conservative.


I think 10% would be a typical range of play for any company even if they thought forecasts were spot on. Give them at least 20%



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Lonely_Dolphin on 11 May 2014
KoopaKid said:

How is that worse? It means 8.1 million without may through october 1.9 million is all it would need and i think people are underestimating mario kart 8 and the hype of smash bros all over at best buy


Worse than what I said because 2 million in 2 months is less than 2 million in 6 weeks. Smash Bros. isn't gonna come out until the Holidays, which is why the Wii U could see 2 million sales there, but I just don't see how Mario Kart 8 alone is gonna make the Wii U average 75k-85k a week starting from it's release until holidays.



Lonely_Dolphin on 11 May 2014
jlmurph2 said:

So tell me, how long and how much of a boost do you think Mario Kart will have before the holidays come

It might be able to break 100k first week, but after a month or two sales will be back down to the 40k-50k range. That's just what I think anyways!



TheLegendaryWolf on 11 May 2014

The Wii U should be able to push 10 million by this year with all the amazing software releasing this year.



drake_tolu on 11 May 2014

Sure, even 11 milion.



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Max King of the Wild on 11 May 2014
drake_tolu said:
Sure, even 11 milion.


this is rich. Someone needs to book mark the threads 



huiii on 11 May 2014
icykai said:
Just signed to say this:
Mario Kart Wii sold 35.53 Mil copies since it's release. Now to do some calculations...
As an average, within 312 Weeks Mario Kart Wii sold 114000 weekly. Let's say Mario Kart 8 sells at this rate until the end of the year.
So with 33 weeks left. It will sell almost 3.7 Mil copies by the end of the year if it sells 114000 weekly, which isn't bad because the Wii U will hit 10 Mil (that is if there are new Wii U buyers).
Now to use another number:
Mario Kart Wii sold in it's first 33 weeks 9.7 Mil copies. Which means 294000 weekly.
Let's say Mario Kart 8 sells at the exact same amount. It would get 9.7 Mil copies. That would get the Wii U to almost 15 Mil sells (if there are new Wii U buyers).
Anyways, this is just the impact of Mario Kart 8 on the Wii U(considering new players would buy the Wii U for Mario Kart 8), so how do you think the influence of other games will do, such as: Wii U Sports, Wii U Play, Wii U Fit, SSBU, Zelda U.
Just saying... to anyone who thinks Wii U is out of the competition, well think again...


Wow... 

Now NSMB Wii sold 11,264,902 units in 10 weeks, since NSMBU was a launch title does that mean the Wii U sold as many unit's in it's firts 10 week on the market and we have it massively undertracked?



Kazus on 11 May 2014

I guess I'll take the risk and agree but I only agree if multiple big titles for Wii U are coming by the end of the year sans Smash and Kart AND there's proper promotion for those titles and great promotion for Smash and Kart.

If at the very least, Smash and Kart aren't getting huge promotional budgets, I don't think 10m is possible. Those two titles alone could pull the 4m needed to get to 10m but it only works if Nintendo actually let's the world know those titles exist.

Otherwise, 10m is a reach and won't happen until February.



Chasesdaddy84 on 11 May 2014
JWeinCom said:
KoopaKid said:

Now hear me out a lotbof people are going to buy a wii u for mario kart 8 and smash bros but i also believe the reveal of the new zelda game iw going to push wii u sales as well and nintendo has stated that they will be marketing mario kart 8 all year long especially ads on tv. Now if they do market mario kart 8 and smash bros like crazy i see it making it easy itbmay even sell more i believe iwata needs to kick the wii u into gear to save his job. Just my prediction i believe end of this year it will hit its goal of 3.6 million easily with the just the marketing of wii u. 


The goal of 3.6 million is for the fiscal year, meaning until the end of march next year.  I should hope they'd hit that, but even if they hit that, they'd still be doing terribly.  Realistically, for the Wii U to remain viable, I'd say it has to be at 11 or 12 million by the end of the calander year, which would mean 5 million or so, which would be quite a task. 

and the very first response sums up everything. Well said. /thread. 



TheHaydenator on 11 May 2014

14 million at most and 10 million at least