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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Wii u will have sold 10 million by the end of this year

JGarret on 11 May 2014
curl-6 said:
If they play their cards right, (No game droughts after Mario Kart 8, price cut before the holidays, lots of exclusive features for Smash Bros U) then yes, it can reach 10m by the end of 2014.

Whether it will all depends on how much they fumble the ball from here onwards.

fumbling the ball...they´ve become quite good at that in the past few years.



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zorg1000 on 11 May 2014
AnthonyW86 said:
Einsam_Delphin said:

At this current rate of 30,000 a week, the Wii U will be sitting at 6,250,000 units sold by the time Mario Kart 8 releases. From that point on, the Wii U would need to average 130,000 a week to make 10 million by the end of the year. I just don't see that happening unfortunately.

I don't think the numbers are adjusted yet, but Nintendo mentioned 6.1 million shipped. So Wii-U is probably still below 6 million sold, and the weekly numbers might be to high (even at only 30k). So 10 million by the end of the year is indeed very unlikely.


they shipped 6.17 million as of March, 31 and according to Vgchartz the sell thru was 5.97 at the time so about 200k on shelves. With retailers not ordering many units, a high shipped/sold ratio makes sense. It may need to be adjusted down a bit but not by any significant margin, maybe 100k or so.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zippy on 11 May 2014
jlmurph2 said:
zippy said:
Dont forget Black friday and holiday sales, Nintendo will push hard this year. After MK8 i expect the baseline sales to be much higher for the rest of the year, add holiday sales etc, then 10 million is a real possibility.


I'm guessing you haven't seen previous posts of what they would have to sell. Here's an example.

Max King of the Wild said:


If  mk8 gives 500% week of. Small 20% drops for the following weeks for a month. And it settles at a new baseline doubled from what it was... Means it needs 2.25m in Nov and Dec... WHat i laid out is ludicrous... More like 80% drop week after mk8 and 500% would be pretty miraculous considering that would mean they would be pretty supply constraind being as that would be the amount they have on shelves according to v

That doesnt mean it cant be achieved though, anything is possible. Its also possible they wont hit 10 million of course, we are all speculating after all.



bubblegamer on 11 May 2014
zorg1000 said:
bubblegamer said:
According to Nintendo and common sense, no way.


according to Nintendo they gave a lowball figure and expect it can sell much more than that.


link to this?



Max King of the Wild on 11 May 2014
zorg1000 said:


they shipped 6.17 million as of March, 31 and according to Vgchartz the sell thru was 5.97 at the time so about 200k on shelves. With retailers not ordering many units, a high shipped/sold ratio makes sense. It may need to be adjusted down a bit but not by any significant margin, maybe 100k or so.


That sold through figure is awfully high. Seriously, VGC showed that much for Ps4 while it was completely sold out everywhere. Theres a min. amount of units that needs to be on shelves and I don't buy that its 200k.



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TheJimbo1234 on 11 May 2014
KoopaKid said:

Now hear me out a lotbof people are going to buy a wii u for mario kart 8 and smash bros but i also believe the reveal of the new zelda game iw going to push wii u sales as well and nintendo has stated that they will be marketing mario kart 8 all year long especially ads on tv. Now if they do market mario kart 8 and smash bros like crazy i see it making it easy itbmay even sell more i believe iwata needs to kick the wii u into gear to save his job. Just my prediction i believe end of this year it will hit its goal of 3.6 million easily with the just the marketing of wii u. 


Everyone who wants to play those games will have already bought one. You forget how loyal the Nintnedo market base is.

Also can you tell me on the Wii, how many units of those games (prequels of course) were sold, and then compare that to the volume of Wii's sold.



tuscaniman99 on 11 May 2014

The console is dead. It is time to give it up. Mario Kart will push a few units but nothing more.



icykai on 11 May 2014

Just signed to say this:
Mario Kart Wii sold 35.53 Mil copies since it's release. Now to do some calculations...
As an average, within 312 Weeks Mario Kart Wii sold 114000 weekly. Let's say Mario Kart 8 sells at this rate until the end of the year.
So with 33 weeks left. It will sell almost 3.7 Mil copies by the end of the year if it sells 114000 weekly, which isn't bad because the Wii U will hit 10 Mil (that is if there are new Wii U buyers).
Now to use another number:
Mario Kart Wii sold in it's first 33 weeks 9.7 Mil copies. Which means 294000 weekly.
Let's say Mario Kart 8 sells at the exact same amount. It would get 9.7 Mil copies. That would get the Wii U to almost 15 Mil sells (if there are new Wii U buyers).
Anyways, this is just the impact of Mario Kart 8 on the Wii U(considering new players would buy the Wii U for Mario Kart 8), so how do you think the influence of other games will do, such as: Wii U Sports, Wii U Play, Wii U Fit, SSBU, Zelda U.
Just saying... to anyone who thinks Wii U is out of the competition, well think again...



cheshirescat on 11 May 2014
bubblegamer said:
zorg1000 said:
bubblegamer said:
According to Nintendo and common sense, no way.


according to Nintendo they gave a lowball figure and expect it can sell much more than that.


link to this?


http://www.gamnesia.com/news/iwata-estimate-of-3.6-million-wii-us-to-be-sold-this-year-is-conservative#.U2-KgChfZO8

 

Iwata said is was conservative, not lowball.  At best they likely believe wii u will sell 10% more than that, at least that's what I would take from conservative.



bubblegamer on 11 May 2014
cheshirescat said:
bubblegamer said:
zorg1000 said:
bubblegamer said:
According to Nintendo and common sense, no way.


according to Nintendo they gave a lowball figure and expect it can sell much more than that.


link to this?


http://www.gamnesia.com/news/iwata-estimate-of-3.6-million-wii-us-to-be-sold-this-year-is-conservative#.U2-KgChfZO8

 

Iwata said is was conservative, not lowball.  At best they likely believe wii u will sell 10% more than that, at least that's what I would take from conservative.

Agreed.