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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

 

Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

No it'll stay above 70k 68 67.33%
 
It'll hit 70k but won't go below by much 17 16.83%
 
It'll go below 70k 15 14.85%
 
Total:100
Yakuzaice on 23 April 2014
Seece said:

Edit - Not going under 80k means you pretty much expect it to be flat yoy. What's your reasoning for this?

The lowest it went last year was 114k with 36k from Japan.  I'd imagine Japan can stay at least above 10k, so it could still be down in the west YoY yet stay above 80k WW.

Of course, most data still points to the 3DS being overtracked last year.  That lowest week was the first week of June before Animal Crossing.  VGC had US sales for the month at 313k originally, adjusted down to 267k now.  NPD was 225k.



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tbone51 on 23 April 2014


That pedantic response O.o (thats why i said its no biggie), but to be fair you used VGC WW numbers and that has both Media/Famitsu together which means 20k+

As for the Main Topic, we have it practically at 100k WW on Apr 12th. Even if you drop it 15k WW for the week coming up( Apr 19th: 85k), Its not gonna go down past 80k WW for the following week (Apr 26th). Cuz it'll climb up from the 20k mark in japan ensuring it wont happen. Following the week after that the numbers will increase WW back over 100k. Why you ask? ITS A Secret :P

Why don't you actually bother reading the OP next time before you start a sales discussion, it's all pretty much laid out for you. VGC are likely overtracked.

And you expect 3DS to be flat in the US/Europe even tho it's been down 20% - 30%+ all this year, which is clearly not going to happen.

Ok VGC might be slightly off but not by much. NPD has pointed out vgc had 3ds spot on (techniqually undertracked) last two months.

That said yu think every month has to be off by the same amount in percentage from YoY? Last Year in March they had LM2 released. Last Year in Apr no games. I dont know why your expecting a MUCH Lower answer cuz of the data you have in the op.

Edit: Down 30%+ for two months doesn't mean its going straight down each month the same. There were big games for the first 3 months of 2013, Apr none. I say 90k for the 4 weeks of the month (US)



Conegamer on 23 April 2014

Yep, there's a good possibility alright. Which is quite worrying when you look at where it was.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Seece on 23 April 2014
tbone51 said:


That pedantic response O.o (thats why i said its no biggie), but to be fair you used VGC WW numbers and that has both Media/Famitsu together which means 20k+

As for the Main Topic, we have it practically at 100k WW on Apr 12th. Even if you drop it 15k WW for the week coming up( Apr 19th: 85k), Its not gonna go down past 80k WW for the following week (Apr 26th). Cuz it'll climb up from the 20k mark in japan ensuring it wont happen. Following the week after that the numbers will increase WW back over 100k. Why you ask? ITS A Secret :P

Why don't you actually bother reading the OP next time before you start a sales discussion, it's all pretty much laid out for you. VGC are likely overtracked.

And you expect 3DS to be flat in the US/Europe even tho it's been down 20% - 30%+ all this year, which is clearly not going to happen.

Ok VGC might be slightly off but not by much. NPD has pointed out vgc had 3ds spot on (techniqually undertracked) last two months.

That said yu think every month has to be off by the same amount in percentage from YoY? Last Year in March they had LM2 released. Last Year in Apr no games. I dont know why your expecting a MUCH Lower answer cuz of the data you have in the op

What did 3DS have last feb and jan then for it to be down the same amount this year? These trends don't just disappear, they fluctuate but they don't disappear. April is usually lower than January, and Jan this year was 97k.



 

Yakuzaice on 23 April 2014
tbone51 said:

Ok VGC might be slightly off but not by much. NPD has pointed out vgc had 3ds spot on (techniqually undertracked) last two months.

That said yu think every month has to be off by the same amount in percentage from YoY? Last Year in March they had LM2 released. Last Year in Apr no games. I dont know why your expecting a MUCH Lower answer cuz of the data you have in the op.

Edit: Down 30%+ for two months doesn't mean its going straight down each month the same. There were big games for the first 3 months of 2013, Apr none. I say 90k for the 4 weeks of the month (US)

It was technically overtracked in February.

Also, April 2013 had Lego City which made it into the top 10, as well as strong continued sales of Luigi's Mansion.



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Seece on 23 April 2014

Fact is even if it's FLAT in the US in April, that is still 28k. Mirror that for Europe and you get 56k combined + 20k for Japan (if it doesn't go lower) = 76k + the 10% rest of the world = 83k.

Again, that is if it's FLAT, which is unlikely.



 

tbone51 on 23 April 2014
Conegamer said:
Yep, there's a good possibility alright. Which is quite worrying when you look at where it was.


Nah... 3DS wont do any worse in japan than this week. It'll hit over 25k a week, that should assure a 80k+ WW weekly :)

POE on 23 April 2014

Don´t worry E3 is coming and Smash is coming.



Seece on 23 April 2014
tbone51 said:
Conegamer said:
Yep, there's a good possibility alright. Which is quite worrying when you look at where it was.


Nah... 3DS wont do any worse in japan than this week. It'll hit over 25k a week, that should assure a 80k+ WW weekly :)

What's coming for 3DS in Japan??



 

tbone51 on 23 April 2014
Yakuzaice said:
tbone51 said:

Ok VGC might be slightly off but not by much. NPD has pointed out vgc had 3ds spot on (techniqually undertracked) last two months.

That said yu think every month has to be off by the same amount in percentage from YoY? Last Year in March they had LM2 released. Last Year in Apr no games. I dont know why your expecting a MUCH Lower answer cuz of the data you have in the op.

Edit: Down 30%+ for two months doesn't mean its going straight down each month the same. There were big games for the first 3 months of 2013, Apr none. I say 90k for the 4 weeks of the month (US)

It was technically overtracked in February.

Also, April 2013 had Lego City which made it into the top 10, as well as strong continued sales of Luigi's Mansion.


Ok by 1k and March under by 2k :p

Lego City? I forgot that crappy game came out lol. The WiiU version was all i thought about and it was released in March (wiiu)!