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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

 

Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

No it'll stay above 70k 68 67.33%
 
It'll hit 70k but won't go below by much 17 16.83%
 
It'll go below 70k 15 14.85%
 
Total:100

So this week 3DS fell below 20k in Japan.

Last month 3DS did 150k the US (5 week month) this is the 3rd consecutive month this year for it to be down YOY.


Jan 2013: 145k
Jan 2014: 97k (down 30%+)

Feb 2013: 189k
Feb 2014: 151k (down 20%)

Mar: 2013: 230k
Mar 2014: 159k (down 30%+)

Apr 2013: 113k
Apr 2014: ? (Down 20% = 90k, Down 30% = 79k)


If the same trend applies 3DS should do between 80k to 90k there next month. This is about 20k a week. Europe trends very similar to the US, so again 20k?

Is anything coming to boost 3DS sales in Japan? Is sub 70k WW something for Nintendo to seriously worry about?



 

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If it does, it will have to be before Smash Bros imo but it has the possibility!



                  

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Nothing to worry about, if its not under 70k this upcoming week or the next it wont be under 70k anytime soon

Edit: Weeks i was referring to were Apr 19th + Apr 26th



tbone51 said:

Nothing to worry about, if its not under 70k this upcoming week or the next it wont be under 70k anytime soon

Edit: Weeks i was referring to were Apr 19th + Apr 26th

But that just means it's likely overtracked.

The dates I use in the OP are talking about April. Look at April NPD last year, this year is expected to be 80k to 90k. This is 20 - 22k in the US.



 

Seece said:
tbone51 said:

Nothing to worry about, if its not under 70k this upcoming week or the next it wont be under 70k anytime soon

Edit: Weeks i was referring to were Apr 19th + Apr 26th

But that just means it's likely overtracked.

The dates I use in the OP are talking about April. Look at April NPD last year, this year is expected to be 80k to 90k. This is 20 - 22k in the US.

Notice Op says 3DS under 20k. Its literally 20k on one tracker and 22k on the other. I dont call that under 20k (Well its no biggie).

It shows that vgc has been on tracked for US (NPD) and week for Apr 12th: 102,439 WW (Japan 24,015)

That means it'll only drop 3k-4k from japan only.

Japan #s wont be under 20k for long. It'll go up from now on in japan starting Apr 27th as well as US/Europe after Week Ending May 3rd.

3DS sales wont be under 80k WW so it wont be undr 70k



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tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

Nothing to worry about, if its not under 70k this upcoming week or the next it wont be under 70k anytime soon

Edit: Weeks i was referring to were Apr 19th + Apr 26th

But that just means it's likely overtracked.

The dates I use in the OP are talking about April. Look at April NPD last year, this year is expected to be 80k to 90k. This is 20 - 22k in the US.

Notice Op says 3DS under 20k. Its literally 20k on one tracker and 22k on the other. I dont call that under 20k (but thats that).

It shows that vgc has been on tracked for US (NPD) and week for Apr 12th: 102,439 (Japan 24,015)

That means it'll only drop 3k-4k from japan only.

Japan #s wont be under 20k for long. It'll go up from now on in japan, as well as US/Europe after Week Ending May 3rd.

3DS sales wont be under 80k WW so it wont be undr 70k

I only use Mediacreate personally, and that says under 20k, stop being pedantic. I also asked if there is any software coming for 3DS, because if there isn't it's only going to go lower ....

Japan isn't really part of the equation here unless it stays well above 20k. It's the US and Europe, which if they follow the trend I set out clearly for you in the OP, should happen at some point this month.

Unless of course by some freak coincidence you expect 3DS to be flat in the west even tho it's showing 20 - 30%+ drops?

Edit - Not going under 80k means you pretty much expect it to be flat yoy. What's your reasoning for this?



 

Notice Op says 3DS under 20k. Its literally 20k on one tracker and 22k on the other. I dont call that under 20k (but thats that).

It shows that vgc has been on tracked for US (NPD) and week for Apr 12th: 102,439 (Japan 24,015)

That means it'll only drop 3k-4k from japan only.

Japan #s wont be under 20k for long. It'll go up from now on in japan, as well as US/Europe after Week Ending May 3rd.

3DS sales wont be under 80k WW so it wont be undr 70k

I only use Mediacreate personally, and that says under 20k, stop being pedantic. I also asked if there is any software coming for 3DS, because if there isn't it's only going to go lower ....

Japan isn't really part of the equation here unless it stays well above 20k. It's the US and Europe, which if they follow the trend I set out clearly for you in the OP, should happen at some point this month.

Unless of course by some freak coincidence you expect 3DS to be flat in the west even tho it's showing 20 - 30%+ drops?

Edit - Not going under 80k means you pretty much expect it to be flat yoy. What's your reasoning for this?


That pedantic response O.o (thats why i said its no biggie), but to be fair you used VGC WW numbers and that has both Media/Famitsu together which means 20k+

As for the Main Topic, we have it practically at 100k WW on Apr 12th. Even if you drop it 15k WW for the week coming up( Apr 19th: 85k), Its not gonna go down past 80k WW for the following week (Apr 26th). Cuz it'll climb up from the 20k mark in japan ensuring it wont happen. Following the week after that the numbers will increase WW back over 100k. Why you ask? ITS A Secret :P

Edit: Both Apr have 4 Weeks of sales only. I can expect 3DS Sales for the month in US to be 95k-100k



I expect it to. (Sometime during Summer if not before)

3DS might get a small boost from Kirby & Mario Golf but then it'll go back down quickly.

Without the evergreen games that the DS had, it can't stabilize very high. The GB & GBA days are gone, Handheld gaming systems aren't as prominent anymore.

Should Nintendo be concerned? No. They are still the market leader and the 3DS was still a success. It isn't going to die anytime soon either.



tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

Notice Op says 3DS under 20k. Its literally 20k on one tracker and 22k on the other. I dont call that under 20k (but thats that).

It shows that vgc has been on tracked for US (NPD) and week for Apr 12th: 102,439 (Japan 24,015)

That means it'll only drop 3k-4k from japan only.

Japan #s wont be under 20k for long. It'll go up from now on in japan, as well as US/Europe after Week Ending May 3rd.

3DS sales wont be under 80k WW so it wont be undr 70k

I only use Mediacreate personally, and that says under 20k, stop being pedantic. I also asked if there is any software coming for 3DS, because if there isn't it's only going to go lower ....

Japan isn't really part of the equation here unless it stays well above 20k. It's the US and Europe, which if they follow the trend I set out clearly for you in the OP, should happen at some point this month.

Unless of course by some freak coincidence you expect 3DS to be flat in the west even tho it's showing 20 - 30%+ drops?

Edit - Not going under 80k means you pretty much expect it to be flat yoy. What's your reasoning for this?


That pedantic response O.o (thats why i said its no biggie), but to be fair you used VGC WW numbers and that has both Media/Famitsu together which means 20k+

As for the Main Topic, we have it practically at 100k WW on Apr 12th. Even if you drop it 15k WW for the week coming up( Apr 19th: 85k), Its not gonna go down past 80k WW for the following week (Apr 26th). Cuz it'll climb up from the 20k mark in japan ensuring it wont happen. Following the week after that the numbers will increase WW back over 100k. Why you ask? ITS A Secret :P

Why don't you actually bother reading the OP next time before you start a sales discussion, it's all pretty much laid out for you. VGC are likely overtracked.

And you expect 3DS to be flat in the US/Europe even tho it's been down 20% - 30%+ all this year, which is clearly not going to happen.



 

It will most likely happen during summer.  The 3DS also needs Dragon Quest XI more than ever if you ask me!



                
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