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Forums - Sales Discussion - BOLD & DARING Prediction PS4 WILL go below 100k WW at least one week this year

 

Will this prediction come true?

Yes 125 56.82%
 
No 74 33.64%
 
Phreakin' copy cat! 21 9.55%
 
Total:220
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.



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I think it's a tad early to finalize this prediction as right/wrong. I'd say the probability of the PS4 hitting under 100k at least 1 week this year is incredibly high (almost guaranteed in-fact), but we don't know if it's actually happened yet. VGC has the latest two weeks at 99.5k and 96.5k, both of which are incredibly close to 100k. Given the (sometimes rather large) margin for error VGC has with its number, both could very will be above 100k or even lower than they are now.

Regardless to which direction they go, the fact remains that even a small margin of error can put both numbers above 100k. If after adjustments both are still under 100k then we can, for the sake of argument, say it has "officially" fallen below 100k this year.



Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

I don't understand. watch_dogs on PS4 alone is still above 100k and it'll be one of  the most purchased games this holiday. It's guaranteed top 20 in month of December.



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Taking into account the accuracy (or lack thereof) of VGChartz' numbers over the last couple of months, I think it would be prudent to wait for the NPD Groups figures before commenting upon the accuracy of this prediction.



Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

still with in margin of error you also have NPD to wait for which have made numerous upwards PS4 adjustments this year

 

compared to how poorly the other 2 consoles are doing one with one of if not biggest exclusive released and the the other which had what was called the next big thing in FPS released aswell as a drop of 100 in price if the PS4 can stay above 85-90k for the next 2 months i would call it a sucess



                                                             

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Clyde32 said:
jlmurph2 said:
BHR-3 said:
cant see it happening cause sony aint gonna do anything that will negatively affect sales for ex ie MS and nintendo might get price cuts this year meaning the prior weeks will see below average low sales i dont see any type of circumstance like this with the PS4

i can see watch dogs having great summer legs aswell as the tlou also being able to sustain HW sales


Some people are so confident.

The bolded is the funniest part.

Not really funny actually. Watch_Dogs is having great legs so far. No one would have predicted the PS4 version to have outsold MK U by close to 300k so far. If you're really looking for a chuckle though, you can take a look at this week's Wii U sales..



Blood_Tears said:

No one would have predicted the PS4 version to have outsold MK U by close to 300k so far.


...Pretty sure most people predicted WD (PS4) to outsell MK U. The fact that it is so close right now (and MK8 has better legs) is far more surprising. MK8 has sold brilliantly so far, far above a lot of people's expectations so this comment just seems misinformed.



To be fair, this topic and poll were created before Driveclub's announcement as an October release. Many would have thought that Summer was bringing both Driveclub and TLOU HD
I don't think i was around here to vote anyway



sundin13 said:
Blood_Tears said:
 

No one would have predicted the PS4 version to have outsold MK U by close to 300k so far.


...Pretty sure most people predicted WD (PS4) to outsell MK U. The fact that it is so close right now (and MK8 has better legs) is far more surprising. MK8 has sold brilliantly so far, far above a lot of people's expectations so this comment just seems misinformed.


Do you have the prediction chart there for reference? I've seen a lot of predictions saying MK U will sell a lot more then it has so far (Along with saving the Wii U) so I am not uninformed. WD's is a new IP and having just 1 version sell over a well known IP of MK is unheard of. Also, I didn't say it didn't sell well but it is also down compared to the last 2 iterations of the series.



So glad I don't have to eat any crow here.



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