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Forums - Sales Discussion - "The Console Market is Shrinking" is a BS Statement

 

The console market is

shrinking 98 43.36%
 
staying the same 52 23.01%
 
growing 74 32.74%
 
Total:224

This comes up again and again. It's mentioned in forums as if it's a fact (happened today!), and it's pissing me off a lot to be honest. Let's deal with the facts shall we:

Generation 3:

NES + Master System + Atari = 61.91 + 11.8 + 3.77 = 77.48 Million

Generation 4:

SNES + Megadrive + TurboGrafx + CDi = 49.1 + 40 + 10 + 0.57 = 99.67 Million

Generation 5

PS + N64 + Saturn + 3DO + Jaguar = 102 + 32.93 + 9.4 + 2 + 0.25 = 146.58 Million

Generation 6

PS2 + Xbox + Gamecube + Dreamcast = 153.6 + 24 + 22 + 10.6 = 209.2 Million

Generation 7

Wii + PS3 + 360 = 100.6 + 81.6 + 80.6 = 262.8 Million (and counting!!!)


So PLEASE tell me where this BS is coming from!?



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But but but the wall street analists! They are always right!



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This is the first gen the number is gonna go down.  



This gen, the 8th gen, I believe will shrink. So far, the handheld market is shrinking way more than how many people expected. And in the console market, only the PS4 will have great sales. The Xbone will be not bad, but also not good. And the Wii U... Wii U



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People forget about the ouya, steam box, the nvidia console all those will sale ten's of consoles



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Except both the PS4 and Xbox One are tracking about 60% ahead of PS3 and X360. So if that continues.. even if the Wii U doesn't do huge.... the PS4/X1 numbers should make up for it.. UNLESS there is a dead drop over the next few years.



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Predictions on 12/01/15 - Generation 8 Totals:

PS4: 85-95m
X1: 55-65m
WiiU: 20-30m

Yeah, they are talking about Gen 8, but that's mostly because Nintendo artificially expanded the 7th Gen market and then put out the Wii U which failed completely to pick up were the Wii left. PS4 and X1 are still ahead of their last gen counterparts.



RolStoppable said:
People say this because of the eighth generation.

Let's say the PS4 sells 150m units, the Wii U 20m, that's going to leave 100m Ones. Do you really think Microsoft will sell that many consoles?

At this point in time it's definitely not unreasonable to expect a contraction.

 

"People say this because of the eighth generation."

Here's a search up till end 2012. People were saying this at least two and a half years ago:

This is literally the first hit and I'm not going to go look for more since I know you'll find tons of quotes and people talking about it in the last 5 years.



 

This is why, as BS as it is

2013

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
3DS 14,843,021 (+5%) 42,205,265
PS3 8,273,274 (-32%) 80,800,487
X360 5,808,811 (-46%) 80,096,282
PS4 4,414,273 (-46%) 4,414,273
WiiU 3,230,633 (+44%) 5,477,849
PSV 3,204,823 (-13%) 7,363,015
XOne 3,073,662 (-13%) 3,073,662
PSP 2,973,884 (-30%) 80,288,234
Wii 1,947,850 (-62%) 100,421,036
DS 818,084 (-73%) 153,814,209
Total48,588,315(-12%) 

 

2012

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
3DS 14,112,182 (+7%) 27,362,244
PS3 12,150,117 (-15%) 72,527,213
X360 10,677,206 (-22%) 74,287,471
Wii 5,082,024 (-56%) 98,473,186
PSP 4,220,108 (-43%) 77,314,350
PSV 3,674,466 (+663%) 4,156,039
DS 3,012,615 (-66%) 152,996,125
WiiU 2,247,216 (-66%) 2,247,216
Total55,175,934(-20%) 

 

2011

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
PS3 14,706,691 (+6%) 61,095,333
X360 13,808,365 (+4%) 63,769,444
3DS 13,250,062 (++4%) 13,250,062
Wii 11,522,685 (-33%) 93,428,231
DS 8,759,675 (-57%) 149,983,510
PSP 7,459,539 (-20%) 73,171,078
PSV 481,573 (-20%) 481,573
Total69,988,590(-6%) 

 

2010

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
DS 20,620,707 (-25%) 141,480,558
Wii 17,320,956 (-18%) 82,096,418
PS3 13,896,438 (+7%) 46,388,642
X360 13,253,914 (+32%) 49,961,079
PSP 9,243,328 (-6%) 65,532,833
Total74,335,343(-9%) 

2009

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
DS 27,573,530 (-7%) 121,371,545
Wii 21,295,417 (-12%) 64,991,750
PS3 12,997,974 (+27%) 32,376,827
X360 10,160,518 (-7%) 36,932,992
PSP 9,855,987 (-30%) 56,289,505
Total81,883,426(-8%) 

2008

Global Hardware by Platform

PlatformYearly (change)Total
DS 29,663,772 (+1%) 93,798,015
Wii 24,188,263 (+46%) 43,696,333
PSP 14,048,403 (+10%) 46,433,518
X360 10,913,123 (+38%) 26,772,474
PS3 10,204,758 (+29%) 19,378,853
Total89,018,319(+19%) 

Do you see the decline now??