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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Uncharted 4 will outsell Super Smash Bros WiiU

 

Which will sell more?

Uncharted 4 197 39.88%
 
Super Smash Bros WiiU 295 59.72%
 
Total:492
TheLegendaryWolf on 31 January 2014

Super Smash Bros U because out of an install base 80 million, every Uncharted game sold under 7 million.



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late_release on 31 January 2014
superchunk said:
late_release said:
WiiU install base won't suddenly gain say like 2-3 millions until SSB is released and the game won't sell at 90-100% attach ratio, it's ridiculous and irrational. At best it will sell 3-4M copies.

Uncharted is a different story because it won't be released any time soon and the install base will be much larger than WiiUs, if the scenario doesn't change until then.

We're talking lifetime sales here, not day one. Wii U won't stop selling this year and neither will SSB4.


Considering the attach ratio for past editions of the game, if the game manages to have a 20% attach ratio (to say the very least) and considering it manages to sell 8M like many of you predict, means that WiiU needs to have 40M consoles sold ~lifetime~.

A big feat, considering how the console has been selling up to this point.



Pavolink on 31 January 2014

I thought Sony consumers rewarded the company for new IP's, not for the third sequel in less than 10 years.



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Fusioncode on 31 January 2014
Pavolink said:
I thought Sony consumers rewarded the company for new IP's, not for the third sequel in less than 10 years.

This isn't a thread for fanboy console wars. I'm making a prediction here. Quit trying to derail my thread. 



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

JoeTheBro on 31 January 2014
shikamaru317 said:

You're probably right, Super Smash sales will be split between Wii U and 3DS afterall. This year's Halo will likely outsell Super Smash Wii U as well, regardless of rather it's Halo 5 or Halo 2 Anniversary.

Halo: Combat Evolved Anniversary did just north of 2 million. What in the world are you predicting for Halo 2 Anniversary? lol

 

OT: Why not. Smash 3DS could really cut into Wii U sales.



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MDMAlliance on 31 January 2014
TruckOSaurus said:
late_release said:
WiiU install base won't suddenly gain say like 2-3 millions until SSB is released and the game won't sell at 90-100% attach ratio, it's ridiculous and irrational. At best it will sell 3-4M copies.

Uncharted is a different story because it won't be released any time soon and the install base will be much larger than WiiUs, if the scenario doesn't change until then.

You have to factor in that Smash games are evergreen titles so SSB will sell for the whole lifetime of the Wii U. 3 to 4 million is a very very low prediction for it.


Also, the Wii U already has a 3m+ seller.



lt_dan_27 on 31 January 2014

Is this really even a prediction? The ps4 will have a lot more sales than the wiiU when UC4 comes out (probably 2015).



late_release on 31 January 2014
MDMAlliance said:
TruckOSaurus said:
late_release said:
WiiU install base won't suddenly gain say like 2-3 millions until SSB is released and the game won't sell at 90-100% attach ratio, it's ridiculous and irrational. At best it will sell 3-4M copies.

Uncharted is a different story because it won't be released any time soon and the install base will be much larger than WiiUs, if the scenario doesn't change until then.

You have to factor in that Smash games are evergreen titles so SSB will sell for the whole lifetime of the Wii U. 3 to 4 million is a very very low prediction for it.


Also, the Wii U already has a 3m+ seller.


I forgot to include the exeptional bundling capabilities of Nintendo, then the game might have greater numbers. 



DonFerrari on 31 January 2014

Nintendo would need just a install base of 10M to have SMB sell more than UC4, are you serious in this question?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Fusioncode on 31 January 2014
DonFerrari said:
Nintendo would need just a install base of 10M to have SMB sell more than UC4, are you serious in this question?

If Uncharted 4 sold 7m units, then the attach rate for SSB would need to be 70% at 10m WiiUs. That doesn't make much sense. 



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!