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Forums - Sales Discussion - I Believe PS4/Xbone GAP After Japan Release Will Be Over 3 Million. And You? (Over 500k in US before Titanfall Launch) - Results Out

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PS4/Xbone GAP After Japan Launch?

4.0m 229 30.90%
 
3.5m 47 6.34%
 
3.0m 120 16.19%
 
2.5m 197 26.59%
 
2.0m 85 11.47%
 
1.5m 12 1.62%
 
1.0m 15 2.02%
 
None 33 4.45%
 
Total:738

Realistically I question how much anticipation for FF15 will sell the PS4 in Japan.

Everything that's coming out for its launch is on the PS3. And i mean everything that isnt named Knack.

Can it even outsell 3D World? 500k launch week?



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ManUtdFan said:
ethomaz said:
ninetailschris said:
700,000 to 900,000. At launch? So, it will be the biggest launch ever to even handhelds in Japan? What is based on? Or do you mean something else.

PS2 sold 980k in launch week in Japan

Day 1: 600k
Day 2: 380k


MIcrosoft and Bill Gates were crying about it apparently

Sorry not happening. PS4 has no new features and no new games. Less features than the Ps3 to boot.  Just PSvita audience to feed off.
DVD player cant save the sony



Dr.EisDrachenJaeger said:
ManUtdFan said:
ethomaz said:
ninetailschris said:
700,000 to 900,000. At launch? So, it will be the biggest launch ever to even handhelds in Japan? What is based on? Or do you mean something else.

PS2 sold 980k in launch week in Japan

Day 1: 600k
Day 2: 380k


MIcrosoft and Bill Gates were crying about it apparently

Sorry not happening. PS4 has no new features and no new games. Less features than the Ps3 to boot.  Just PSvita audience to feed off.
DVD player cant save the sony

Except that you are completely wrong I guess the PS2 was selling so well because of the multitude of new features and games.

As if anyone who buys a console at launch cares for its features or games...



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

ethomaz said:
shikamaru317 said:

I don't think the PS4 will pull those kind of numbers in Japan. Maybe if there was some major exclusive available at launch but right now the biggest PS4 title available on launch day is Yakuza Ishin, which is also releasing on PS3 and it's predecessor, Yakuza Kenzan, only sold 360k copies total in Japan.

Now 900k PS4's sold by the end of March is possible.

The lowest I'm expecting for Japan is 500k... FF Beta and Deep Down will move consoles there.


A port of a mmo and a free-to-play mmo on a console will move systems. I will avatar bet you it not sale more than 400,000.



"Excuse me sir, I see you have a weapon. Why don't you put it down and let's settle this like gentlemen"  ~ max

Some points...

1) Why are people talking about Titanfall? My prediction ends ends weeks before TF release.

2) The biggest release is FFXIV Demo. Everybody in Japan wants to play it on PS4 instead PS3.

3) MMO and F2P demos are different than retail demos because you continue playing after the demo phase... so these demos moves consoles.



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Some points...

1) Why are people talking about Titanfall? My prediction ends ends weeks before TF release.

2) The biggest release is FFXIV Demo. Everybody in Japan wants to play it on PS4 instead PS3.

3) MMO and F2P demos are different than retail demos because you continue playing after the demo phase... so these demos moves consoles.



Hmmm, it's possible, but I think it will be by march 31



ethomaz said:
Some points...

1) Why are people talking about Titanfall? My prediction ends ends weeks before TF release.

2) The biggest release is FFXIV Demo. Everybody in Japan wants to play it on PS4 instead PS3.

3) MMO and F2P demos are different than retail demos because you continue playing after the demo phase... so these demos moves consoles.


I don't you understand the market. The grossing area in Japan is mobile. The second being handheld. The psp outsold the ps3 by two times. Here you are predicting a 400 dollar console will sale more day one than a handheld with most hype and market. Ps4 is coming off of the ps3 which sold 9 million basically. You expect a successer to declining console to sale 500,000 units launch week. The vita which came off of 20 million userbase couldn't do it. Here you are saying a console port of a mmo will move units. Tell that to the vita which was having ports of the psp and tell how well that did. You whole argument is based on previous market. You even bringing up the ps2 must mean you are not up to date with the market. The 3ds outsold the ps3 in less than 2 years. The market has shifted.



"Excuse me sir, I see you have a weapon. Why don't you put it down and let's settle this like gentlemen"  ~ max

I voted 2,5M for the gap without really conviction ^^

I should have voted 3,5M !



Market didn't shifted... 7th gen consoles sold more than 6th gen consoles... the console market in Japan growed and it will grow again.

If a console didn't sell like you expected kt is because it wasn't popular like the previous one...

And now we had PS4 that will be more popular than Wii in Japan with a plus it will combine PS3 Wii usebase in Japan.