Sup Pezus....
I doubt it will reach 100 million, but it might.

Nope.

Nah. The PS2 had a shorter lifespan than the PS3 before its successor and it had no real competition. I don't see the PS3 having that kind of tail end. Unless China change things.

Nah 20 million not gonna happen. Even if it lasts another 5 years at -35% per year that's only 13.6 million more units. And there's no way PS3 is selling for another 5 years. 2 years, maybe 3 tops. So it might make 90 million when all's done.

I sure can when The Last Guardian gets released.

So far, I am not sure any more. It seems the transfer from PS360 to the next gen consoles is much faster than we thought. With the good price of PS4, I believe many gamers will just pay 100 dollar extra to get the next gen console.

The decreasing rate of PS360 will be fast and the trend might be sharp.

for a while I was very sure that it would happen. Then this year came and it did over a million less than I thought it would this year. I was thinking it would have done close to 10, then this year 7.

For it to get that many it would need to average 6.5 million a year for 3 years if it sells through December 2016

5 million a year for 4 years if through 2017

and 4 a year for 5 if through 2018

The ps1 and 2 dominated there generations and were pretty much the only one getting support when the new gens started. ps3 might have a few markets where it was in first but it's not going to be the sole legacy console in major markets. How much space can be used for all these systems? Last gen had 5 systems sell over 80 million. There isn't room for those and the 5 new ones. There was barely enough for the last 5 and the ps2. often places had the ps2 taking over psp or ps3 space. I don't see ps3 and xbox360 lingering around 3 years more in most markets.

So unless the ps3 takes off in some emerging market and suddenly the year over year declines slow significantly. It will probably end up between 5 and 10 million short.

Will do it with a DON.

If the sharp drop is confirmed for all the year, it's become more difficult. Not impossible, because dropping to $99 through a single or two successive price cuts could support sales enough and make it affordable to a larger audience, but Sony could delay any PS3 price cut for PS4's first year of life, and the next PS to have a price cut, the one that needs it the most and that BTW wouldn't disturb PS4, but maybe even help it a little, is PSV, its cut could happen after PS4 sales settle in Japan after launch. Anyway, if it doesn't drop to $99 too late, it has some chances. The time window to do it, though, is quite narrow, as I wrote, probably it can't happen very soon, but it must not happen too late to work, either.

With the price still expected to drop, I'd say it will easily get to over 100 million. The only thing that could disrupt this is if the Wii U drops in price significantly, which I don't see happening anytime soon.