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Forums - Sony Discussion - Prediction: PS4 will sell 20,000,000 by Dec 31. 2014

jamesmarkus87 said:

The question is, will Sony be able to ship enough consoles this holiday? If so, then PS4 will have no trouble hitting 20 million by December 31.


Sony must have shipped well over 4.4 million by 31/12/2013, they'd only need to average 1.35 million shipped across this year to meet the demand for 20 million sales and also make sure they have a surplus going into 2015, not that much more a month considering they were at 1 million a month by September, by the sounds of things yields actually increased beyond that by the end of 2013, because there were 4 months of production, so they must have averaged over 1.1 million to get those 4.4 million sales through to customers.

If they stayed at 1.1 million shipped a month, that would put them at 17.6 million by 31/12/2014, but I think they'd be in a similar position to last year, running out of stock by a big margin, they only need to up the average an extra 200k a month to hit 20 million produced, 1.35 each month, throughout this year would put them at 20.6M, so plenty to meet 20 million sales by the end of 2014.

Considering they have January sales coming up after Black Friday and Xmas Week, 2 major exclusives (The Order and Bloodborne) & a huge multiplat in Witcher 3 dropping in February, Ratchet & Clank between March and the end of June having a surplus of stock isn't a bad thing going into 2015

I would think Sony will want to get ahead on production as much as possible.

 

IMO meeting demand for 20 million sales by the end of the year isn't as hard as it may seem.



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ethomaz said:

prinz_valium said:

what sold the ps2? big games libary and cheap price

what sold the ps3? the exclusive games and the brand name

 

what sells the ps4 right now? just the hardware itself, the brand and hype. and if its doing the best first year ever, it will do the best second, third and fourth year, too

big exclusives still to come...

pricecuts still to come... (and the ps4 is so much better in any way compared to the ps3 to reduce costs and give the priceadvantage to the customer)

 

 

You can use that for PS4.

big games libary and cheap price

The game library is bigger (the biggest I ever see in a year old console)... and it is cheap... well maybe it was cheap because now the competition matched the price but it give you more for less.


maybe, but it doenst matter, because both will become better if time goes one

more games and cheaper price ist a 1000% given.

 

thy why i would say it sells out of thin air right now



ethomaz said:
icykai said:
15 million Max this year.

Well it is alrady close to that... more 2-3 millions.


Well, i guess 16-17 then?



Not even close.



Hopefully it does but I'm thinking around 17 - 18 Mill..



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dec 31 2014 vilanger think ps4 will be at 17m



I don't think it will hit 20m, but it's in the realm of possibility.



13.50M until Sept 30 2014
6.50M to go!

Reminder: consoles have close to 50% of their sales in a year in the last 3 months! Hell it could break even my prediction and go to 21M lol.



I surely hope so. Sorry but Sony deserves it.



Can't wait to get November numbers in and see what it does.

Is this prediction stating that VGC's number will be >20 million on Jan 1st(or 3rd with partial week score) or just waiting on a Sony confirmation of 20 million??

It's looking possible it will very well be around the 20 million mark but VGC has undertracked PS4 all this year, so I doubt they will be anything close to the real numbers