You're crazy. Sorry! :P

Here's some thoughts I'm lifting from another thread where I've been discussing 2014:

- Even if 3DS has a lighter 2014 than it has had in the last 3 years, I don't think that will necessarily translate to people flocking to Vita. More likely they'll just continue flocking to smartphones.

- Vita had a price cut and a new model, plus a home console (lol) in 2013 all of which inflated sales and it's still not going to reach 1.5m. All I can see them pulling out the hat for 2014 is another $50 pricecut, which won't have nearly as big an impact.

- The games Vita is getting are great, and on the whole I'm put them on par with 2013's efforts (Phantasy Star = God Eater. Freedom Wars = Toukiden. Soul Sacrifice = Soul Sacrifice. Sword Art Online = ???. Final Fantasy X = ???). 2014 has a few advantages, namely Miku showing up again and a few more anime titles (J-Stars; Dragon Ball; Sword Art) and presumably a little residue from Final Fantasy.
But these games are all targeted at an existing fanbase. There's 3 big hunting titles (PS; FW; SS). Sony spent some of 2012 and all of 2013 attracting hunting game fans to Vita. What is another year of aiming for this fanbase going to do? They're mostly already here. Aside from Phantasy Star selling on the strength of its IP, titles like Soul Sac & Freedom Wars aren't going to do anything to expand the userbase.
Miku, similarly, already has a substantial userbase on Vita. As do the otaku games like Sen no Kiseki 2 and Disgaea 4. Really, the anime titles are the only things announced so far that I can realistically see having a big impact on hardware with. Sword Art Online was a big get since it's still fairly popular. Sony need to target different audiences - go after the female crowd with an Animal Crossing-esque game; go after the traditional JRPG crowd with a Final Fantasy-esque game, etc.

And that's why I don't see 2014 doing much better than 2013, unless Sony have some tricks up their sleeve that they've not pulled out yet.

Successful, yes, most successful, no.

I cant see PS4 selling well in japan next year(like in EU for example). Where are the great japonese games?

15M 3DS sold in Japan? So, half of the 3DS sales comes from 1 country?

No, you aren´t nuts. Just wrong. To put things in perspective in 2 years PSV build a small userbase of just 2.268.215 units from December 2011 to Dec 2013. Considering that this year they were quite agressive with PSV, price drop early in the year, several new colours and bundles and on top of that a new revision PSV-2000 and even a spin-off console PSV-TV. The PSV to PS4 connectivity is hyped in forums but just like PSVTV mostly due to very vocal forum users than any significant demand.

I don't think the Vita library is all that hot to be honest. Is there some kind of new Final Fantasy game (like Dissidia?)? A new Kingdom Hearts? Dragon Quest? A Monster Hunter that people care about? Metal Gear Solid?

Seems like no on all accounts.

Nintendo is always quiet on their release list anyway. We didn't even get our fist official confirmation/look at Pokemon X/Y until January of this year.

But Dragon Quest XI seems like it could be headed to the 3DS this year. DQX's been finished for a while, it's probably well into development for 3DS.

Smash Bros. 3DS is a lock but I could see Monster Hunter 4G as well next year. My suspicion is Monster Games (Diddy Kong Racing Returns?) and the NSMB2 team (New Super Mario Bros. 3? Wario platformer?) are also working on 3DS projects for 2014 release.

i wont be surprised if vita beats 3ds next year.... i mean 3ds cant stay on the top forever...

if there are more rpg in vita... it would start pulling market in japan that's for sure

15 x 2 = 40?

Ummmm??? Not sure if serious o.O

No. A weak year for 3DS still beats a strong year for Vita. 3DS will be down (probably) but it'll probably do Vita 2014 sales in the first 6 months!